The School of OddsNaomi Osaka v Karolina Muchova
Head to Head
Option 1: Naomi Osaka (Local)
Odds
1.6959.17%Min
1.7557.12%Mean
1.7557.14%Median
1.8155.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.63%1.900Min
55.58%1.799Max
53.96%1.853Mean
53.95%1.854Median
53.93%1.854IQM
53.97%1.853Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.81 under the IQM model: 53.93%
EV -2.39%Edge -1.32%Kelly -2.95%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Karolina Muchova (Visit)
Odds
1.9750.76%Min
2.0648.60%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1546.51%Max
Consensus probabilities
44.42%2.251Min
47.37%2.111Max
46.04%2.172Mean
46.05%2.171Median
46.07%2.170IQM
46.03%2.172Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.15 under the IQM model: 46.07%
EV -0.943%Edge -0.439%Kelly -0.820%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Naomi Osaka (Local) ▼ | Karolina Muchova (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81I 55.25% NM 53.59%EV -2.39% E -1.32% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 46.41%EV -3.71% E -1.77% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-06 01:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 54.43%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51% NM 45.57%EV -0.943% E -0.439% K -0.820% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 23:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.85%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 46.15%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 21:50 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 01:35 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 21:45 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 22:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 22:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -2.93% E -1.63% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 22:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.12%EV -4.01% E -2.25% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.88%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-06 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18% NM 54.01%EV -4.01% E -2.25% K -5.14% G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85% NM 45.99%EV -3.71% E -1.77% K -3.40% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-06 01:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.38%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39% NM 45.62%EV -2.79% E -1.32% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 23:35 |
| Bovada | 1.77I 56.50% NM 54.26%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.74%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 22:18 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| TAB | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.66%EV -4.55% E -2.57% K -5.91% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.34%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 00:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -5.09% E -2.89% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82% NM 53.81%EV -5.09% E -2.89% K -6.70% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.19%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-06 01:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.78%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17% NM 45.22%EV -2.33% E -1.10% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 23:40 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:40 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 23:35 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Casumo | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| betPARX | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.19%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31% NM 45.81%EV -4.63% E -2.24% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 01:30 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.58%EV -5.63% E -3.22% K -7.50% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.42%EV -6.93% E -3.43% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 23:08 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.81%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39% NM 45.19%EV -2.79% E -1.32% K -2.51% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 19:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Betsson | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| Caesars | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -6.17% E -3.54% K -8.33% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 22:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:34 |
| Sky Bet | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 20:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 19:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 22:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 21:40 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -6.71% E -3.88% K -9.19% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| PlayUp | 1.72I 58.14% NM 54.74%EV -7.25% E -4.21% K -10.06% G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.26%EV -4.17% E -2.00% K -3.86% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 23:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14% NM 53.76%EV -7.25% E -4.21% K -10.06% G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.24%EV -7.85% E -3.93% K -7.85% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| GTbets | 1.71I 58.48% NM 55.58%EV -7.78% E -4.55% K -10.96% G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73% NM 44.42%EV -1.40% E -0.656% K -1.23% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 20:30 |
| Fliff | 1.71I 58.48% NM 54.52%EV -7.78% E -4.55% K -10.96% G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.48%EV -5.55% E -2.71% K -5.29% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.71I 58.48% NM 54.03%EV -7.78% E -4.55% K -10.96% G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75% NM 45.97%EV -7.39% E -3.68% K -7.32% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 21:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -8.32% E -4.90% K -11.89% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -3.25% E -1.55% K -2.95% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 20:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82% NM 54.30%EV -8.32% E -4.90% K -11.89% G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50% NM 45.70%EV -6.93% E -3.43% K -6.80% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 02:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.70I 58.82% NM 53.93%EV -8.32% E -4.90% K -11.89% G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25% NM 46.07%EV -8.31% E -4.18% K -8.40% G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
| ReBet | 1.69I 59.17% NM 53.83%EV -8.86% E -5.24% K -12.85% G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76% NM 46.17%EV -9.24% E -4.69% K -9.52% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-05 22:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Naomi Osaka (Local) | Karolina Muchova (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.84I 54.35% | 2.16I 46.30% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.84I 54.35% | 2.16I 46.30% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 02:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35% | 2.16I 46.30% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.84I 54.35% | 2.16I 46.30% | 0.6% | 2026-07-06 02:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.83I 54.64% | 2.12I 47.17% | 1.8% | 2026-07-06 02:30 |
| Novig | 1.77I 56.50% | 2.11I 47.39% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 02:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24% | 1.96I 51.02% | 11.3% | 2026-07-06 00:50 |