Accuracy of every bookmaker on every settled game in the last 14 days, scored at two snapshots: the closing line (last tick before kickoff) and 24 hours before kickoff.
Brier here is the multi-class Brier score averaged per game. Lower is better. Base-rate Brier is the score the climatology predictor (always predict the realized outcome frequencies) would have achieved on the same games this bookmaker covered. BSS = 1 − Brier / Base-rate Brier; higher = better skill, 0 = matches climatology, negative = worse than it.
646 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PMU (FR) | 45 | 10.92% | 0.4463 | 0.4879 | 0.0852 | 57.8% / 42.2% |
| 2 | Fliff | 208 | 5.65% | 0.4775 | 0.5000 | 0.0449 | 49.5% / 50.5% |
| 3 | NordicBet | 257 | 5.66% | 0.4794 | 0.4996 | 0.0405 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 4 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 242 | 0.81% | 0.4785 | 0.4983 | 0.0398 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 5 | BetRivers | 244 | 5.52% | 0.4799 | 0.4995 | 0.0391 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 6 | 888sport | 228 | 5.61% | 0.4803 | 0.4997 | 0.0387 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 7 | 888sport (SE) | 228 | 5.61% | 0.4803 | 0.4997 | 0.0387 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 8 | ATG (SE) | 227 | 4.84% | 0.4810 | 0.4998 | 0.0376 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 9 | Mr Green (SE) | 228 | 5.64% | 0.4809 | 0.4997 | 0.0375 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 10 | Pinnacle | 280 | 2.76% | 0.4804 | 0.4991 | 0.0374 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 11 | BetOpenly | 157 | 2.19% | 0.4815 | 0.4998 | 0.0367 | 49.0% / 51.0% |
| 12 | Svenska Spel | 228 | 3.68% | 0.4820 | 0.4997 | 0.0353 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 13 | Betsson | 256 | 5.67% | 0.4821 | 0.4997 | 0.0352 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 14 | Bet Victor | 197 | 5.84% | 0.4826 | 0.4999 | 0.0346 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 15 | DraftKings | 258 | 4.72% | 0.4823 | 0.4995 | 0.0344 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 16 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 252 | 0.82% | 0.4818 | 0.4989 | 0.0341 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 17 | TABtouch | 254 | 5.37% | 0.4807 | 0.4975 | 0.0338 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 18 | SportsBet | 263 | 5.27% | 0.4816 | 0.4984 | 0.0337 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 19 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 260 | 0.93% | 0.4818 | 0.4986 | 0.0336 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 20 | Fanatics | 242 | 4.62% | 0.4835 | 0.5000 | 0.0331 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 21 | Paddy Power | 254 | 6.86% | 0.4828 | 0.4989 | 0.0323 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 22 | Unibet | 258 | 5.04% | 0.4829 | 0.4985 | 0.0314 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 23 | Unibet (NL) | 253 | 4.54% | 0.4822 | 0.4977 | 0.0313 | 53.4% / 46.6% |
| 24 | Unibet (SE) | 242 | 4.50% | 0.4841 | 0.4997 | 0.0313 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 25 | LeoVegas (SE) | 242 | 5.13% | 0.4841 | 0.4997 | 0.0312 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 26 | BetMGM | 242 | 4.69% | 0.4845 | 0.5000 | 0.0310 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 27 | Betway | 227 | 5.25% | 0.4842 | 0.4998 | 0.0310 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 28 | LeoVegas | 236 | 5.30% | 0.4836 | 0.4991 | 0.0310 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 29 | ReBet | 241 | 4.31% | 0.4845 | 0.5000 | 0.0309 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 30 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 262 | 5.02% | 0.4832 | 0.4986 | 0.0309 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 31 | 1xBet | 189 | 2.19% | 0.4848 | 0.4999 | 0.0302 | 49.2% / 50.8% |
| 32 | Hard Rock Bet | 242 | 4.71% | 0.4850 | 0.5000 | 0.0299 | 49.6% / 50.4% |
| 33 | Dabble (AU) | 219 | 5.34% | 0.4834 | 0.4982 | 0.0299 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| 34 | BetOnline.ag | 252 | 2.76% | 0.4849 | 0.4995 | 0.0292 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 35 | MyBookie.ag | 241 | 4.30% | 0.4854 | 0.5000 | 0.0292 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 36 | LiveScore Bet | 195 | 5.42% | 0.4854 | 0.5000 | 0.0292 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 37 | Tipico (DE) | 207 | 6.43% | 0.4845 | 0.4991 | 0.0291 | 52.2% / 47.8% |
| 38 | LowVig.ag | 238 | 2.68% | 0.4854 | 0.4999 | 0.0290 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 39 | TAB | 259 | 4.54% | 0.4840 | 0.4983 | 0.0288 | 52.9% / 47.1% |
| 40 | Novig | 232 | 1.04% | 0.4858 | 0.5000 | 0.0285 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 41 | betPARX | 239 | 4.88% | 0.4860 | 0.5000 | 0.0280 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 42 | Bally Bet | 239 | 5.00% | 0.4860 | 0.5000 | 0.0280 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 43 | Bovada | 240 | 4.40% | 0.4862 | 0.5000 | 0.0275 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 44 | Neds | 262 | 5.02% | 0.4849 | 0.4986 | 0.0275 | 52.7% / 47.3% |
| 45 | GTbets | 238 | 2.78% | 0.4862 | 0.4999 | 0.0274 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 46 | Kalshi | 219 | 1.44% | 0.4863 | 0.4997 | 0.0269 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 47 | Winamax (DE) | 194 | 5.68% | 0.4866 | 0.5000 | 0.0267 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 48 | Polymarket | 234 | 1.08% | 0.4866 | 0.5000 | 0.0267 | 50.4% / 49.6% |
| 49 | Winamax (FR) | 194 | 6.92% | 0.4866 | 0.5000 | 0.0267 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 50 | Smarkets | 201 | 2.25% | 0.4868 | 0.5000 | 0.0264 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 51 | PlayUp | 225 | 5.10% | 0.4860 | 0.4992 | 0.0264 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 52 | theScore Bet | 243 | 3.89% | 0.4869 | 0.5000 | 0.0262 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 53 | FanDuel | 250 | 4.22% | 0.4868 | 0.4999 | 0.0261 | 49.2% / 50.8% |
| 54 | ProphetX | 232 | 1.04% | 0.4870 | 0.5000 | 0.0260 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 55 | Coolbet | 237 | 5.10% | 0.4860 | 0.4989 | 0.0260 | 52.3% / 47.7% |
| 56 | PointsBet (AU) | 235 | 4.60% | 0.4866 | 0.4996 | 0.0259 | 51.5% / 48.5% |
| 57 | Coral | 221 | 4.85% | 0.4867 | 0.4995 | 0.0256 | 51.6% / 48.4% |
| 58 | Unibet (UK) | 235 | 4.33% | 0.4875 | 0.5000 | 0.0251 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 59 | William Hill | 203 | 5.35% | 0.4876 | 0.5000 | 0.0247 | 49.8% / 50.2% |
| 60 | Virgin Bet | 192 | 5.41% | 0.4884 | 0.5000 | 0.0231 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 61 | Unibet (FR) | 191 | 6.40% | 0.4883 | 0.4999 | 0.0231 | 49.2% / 50.8% |
| 62 | BetAnything | 239 | 2.85% | 0.4885 | 0.5000 | 0.0229 | 50.2% / 49.8% |
| 63 | Caesars | 240 | 4.32% | 0.4889 | 0.5000 | 0.0222 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 64 | BetUS | 254 | 3.03% | 0.4886 | 0.4992 | 0.0213 | 52.0% / 48.0% |
| 65 | Matchbook | 198 | 1.96% | 0.4882 | 0.4987 | 0.0212 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 66 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 218 | 4.79% | 0.4892 | 0.4996 | 0.0209 | 51.4% / 48.6% |
| 67 | Odds.School (IQM) | 276 | — | 0.4894 | 0.4998 | 0.0207 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 68 | Odds.School (Median) | 276 | — | 0.4895 | 0.4998 | 0.0206 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 69 | Odds.School (Mean) | 276 | — | 0.4895 | 0.4998 | 0.0205 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 70 | Marathon Bet | 199 | 5.42% | 0.4896 | 0.4997 | 0.0203 | 51.3% / 48.7% |
| 71 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 276 | — | 0.4897 | 0.4998 | 0.0202 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 72 | Casumo | 209 | 4.98% | 0.4892 | 0.4986 | 0.0190 | 52.6% / 47.4% |
| 73 | Betr (AU) | 261 | 5.31% | 0.4898 | 0.4991 | 0.0186 | 52.1% / 47.9% |
| 74 | Grosvenor | 208 | 5.10% | 0.4897 | 0.4988 | 0.0183 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 75 | Everygame | 192 | 2.81% | 0.4912 | 0.4998 | 0.0171 | 51.0% / 49.0% |
| 76 | Bet Right | 255 | 4.87% | 0.4904 | 0.4987 | 0.0167 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 77 | NetBet (FR) | 35 | 11.84% | 0.4752 | 0.4800 | 0.0100 | 60.0% / 40.0% |
| 78 | BoyleSports | 132 | 6.14% | 0.4959 | 0.4982 | 0.0045 | 53.0% / 47.0% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Suprabets | 37 | 6.94% | 0.5420 | 0.5990 | 0.0952 | 54.1% / 27.0% / 18.9% |
| 2 | Smarkets | 230 | 2.44% | 0.5751 | 0.6276 | 0.0837 | 49.1% / 28.3% / 22.6% |
| 3 | Coral | 284 | 10.15% | 0.5765 | 0.6291 | 0.0836 | 48.9% / 27.8% / 23.2% |
| 4 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 370 | — | 0.5756 | 0.6261 | 0.0807 | 49.2% / 29.2% / 21.6% |
| 5 | Odds.School (Mean) | 370 | — | 0.5756 | 0.6261 | 0.0807 | 49.2% / 29.2% / 21.6% |
| 6 | NetBet (FR) | 103 | 12.25% | 0.5567 | 0.6055 | 0.0806 | 53.4% / 25.2% / 21.4% |
| 7 | Odds.School (IQM) | 370 | — | 0.5756 | 0.6261 | 0.0806 | 49.2% / 29.2% / 21.6% |
| 8 | Odds.School (Median) | 370 | — | 0.5757 | 0.6261 | 0.0805 | 49.2% / 29.2% / 21.6% |
| 9 | Svenska Spel | 271 | 5.17% | 0.5652 | 0.6138 | 0.0793 | 51.7% / 27.7% / 20.7% |
| 10 | Betclic (FR) | 222 | 10.13% | 0.5728 | 0.6214 | 0.0782 | 49.5% / 30.6% / 19.8% |
| 11 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 264 | 10.25% | 0.5764 | 0.6243 | 0.0767 | 49.6% / 28.8% / 21.6% |
| 12 | ATG (SE) | 269 | 4.73% | 0.5660 | 0.6129 | 0.0764 | 51.7% / 28.3% / 20.1% |
| 13 | Mr Green (SE) | 300 | 9.72% | 0.5745 | 0.6218 | 0.0761 | 50.0% / 29.0% / 21.0% |
| 14 | PMU (FR) | 242 | 12.12% | 0.5604 | 0.6065 | 0.0761 | 52.9% / 27.3% / 19.8% |
| 15 | 888sport | 269 | 9.82% | 0.5788 | 0.6259 | 0.0752 | 49.1% / 29.7% / 21.2% |
| 16 | Virgin Bet | 291 | 10.57% | 0.5760 | 0.6220 | 0.0740 | 50.2% / 28.2% / 21.6% |
| 17 | 888sport (SE) | 268 | 9.85% | 0.5800 | 0.6261 | 0.0736 | 48.9% / 30.2% / 20.9% |
| 18 | Unibet (FR) | 290 | 12.47% | 0.5795 | 0.6255 | 0.0736 | 49.7% / 27.6% / 22.8% |
| 19 | Unibet | 306 | 7.48% | 0.5779 | 0.6237 | 0.0735 | 49.3% / 30.1% / 20.6% |
| 20 | BetAnything | 167 | 6.66% | 0.5779 | 0.6230 | 0.0724 | 49.7% / 29.3% / 21.0% |
| 21 | Casumo | 257 | 7.26% | 0.5680 | 0.6121 | 0.0721 | 51.8% / 28.4% / 19.8% |
| 22 | Paddy Power | 292 | 10.76% | 0.5818 | 0.6265 | 0.0713 | 49.3% / 28.4% / 22.3% |
| 23 | LiveScore Bet | 288 | 10.55% | 0.5783 | 0.6226 | 0.0711 | 50.0% / 28.5% / 21.5% |
| 24 | Codere (IT) | 177 | 8.01% | 0.5907 | 0.6332 | 0.0671 | 47.5% / 30.5% / 22.0% |
| 25 | Winamax (FR) | 269 | 12.50% | 0.5883 | 0.6299 | 0.0661 | 48.0% / 30.9% / 21.2% |
| 26 | Sky Bet | 218 | 11.53% | 0.5814 | 0.6223 | 0.0658 | 50.5% / 26.1% / 23.4% |
| 27 | betfred_uk | 317 | 9.21% | 0.5859 | 0.6271 | 0.0657 | 49.2% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 28 | Coolbet | 302 | 4.79% | 0.5842 | 0.6248 | 0.0650 | 49.3% / 29.5% / 21.2% |
| 29 | NordicBet | 330 | 7.29% | 0.5828 | 0.6230 | 0.0645 | 50.0% / 28.2% / 21.8% |
| 30 | Winamax (DE) | 267 | 9.14% | 0.5902 | 0.6308 | 0.0643 | 47.6% / 31.5% / 21.0% |
| 31 | Pinnacle | 328 | 4.19% | 0.5880 | 0.6281 | 0.0639 | 49.1% / 28.0% / 22.9% |
| 32 | Unibet (NL) | 288 | 6.70% | 0.5780 | 0.6174 | 0.0638 | 50.7% / 29.2% / 20.1% |
| 33 | Marathon Bet | 290 | 6.92% | 0.5795 | 0.6185 | 0.0631 | 50.0% / 30.7% / 19.3% |
| 34 | LeoVegas (SE) | 287 | 8.47% | 0.5851 | 0.6234 | 0.0615 | 49.8% / 28.6% / 21.6% |
| 35 | LeoVegas | 269 | 9.86% | 0.5854 | 0.6234 | 0.0610 | 49.8% / 28.6% / 21.6% |
| 36 | Tipico (DE) | 220 | 8.69% | 0.5898 | 0.6281 | 0.0609 | 47.7% / 32.3% / 20.0% |
| 37 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 269 | 0.89% | 0.5873 | 0.6244 | 0.0593 | 49.8% / 27.9% / 22.3% |
| 38 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 267 | 0.88% | 0.5877 | 0.6246 | 0.0590 | 49.8% / 27.7% / 22.5% |
| 39 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 268 | 0.92% | 0.5868 | 0.6236 | 0.0590 | 50.0% / 27.6% / 22.4% |
| 40 | theScore Bet | 116 | 6.95% | 0.5761 | 0.6122 | 0.0589 | 51.7% / 28.4% / 19.8% |
| 41 | 1xBet | 296 | 5.24% | 0.5872 | 0.6237 | 0.0585 | 49.7% / 29.1% / 21.3% |
| 42 | William Hill | 285 | 9.40% | 0.5858 | 0.6221 | 0.0583 | 50.2% / 28.1% / 21.8% |
| 43 | Kalshi | 142 | 1.97% | 0.5934 | 0.6297 | 0.0577 | 48.6% / 28.9% / 22.5% |
| 44 | Unibet (UK) | 284 | 6.84% | 0.5946 | 0.6307 | 0.0572 | 47.9% / 30.6% / 21.5% |
| 45 | Grosvenor | 273 | 7.72% | 0.5841 | 0.6195 | 0.0571 | 49.8% / 30.8% / 19.4% |
| 46 | DraftKings | 262 | 5.92% | 0.5954 | 0.6314 | 0.0570 | 48.5% / 27.9% / 23.7% |
| 47 | SportsBet | 287 | 9.39% | 0.5855 | 0.6208 | 0.0568 | 50.5% / 27.5% / 22.0% |
| 48 | Bovada | 293 | 7.21% | 0.5877 | 0.6230 | 0.0566 | 50.2% / 27.3% / 22.5% |
| 49 | BetMGM | 219 | 7.41% | 0.5898 | 0.6233 | 0.0539 | 50.2% / 26.5% / 23.3% |
| 50 | Fanatics | 127 | 6.69% | 0.5860 | 0.6188 | 0.0530 | 51.2% / 25.2% / 23.6% |
| 51 | Betsson | 298 | 7.21% | 0.5920 | 0.6242 | 0.0516 | 49.3% / 29.9% / 20.8% |
| 52 | PointsBet (AU) | 231 | 7.78% | 0.5982 | 0.6296 | 0.0499 | 48.1% / 30.7% / 21.2% |
| 53 | Betr (AU) | 191 | 8.61% | 0.5678 | 0.5976 | 0.0499 | 53.9% / 28.3% / 17.8% |
| 54 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 238 | 10.51% | 0.5979 | 0.6280 | 0.0479 | 49.2% / 27.7% / 23.1% |
| 55 | BoyleSports | 230 | 12.21% | 0.6063 | 0.6354 | 0.0459 | 47.4% / 29.1% / 23.5% |
| 56 | Neds | 231 | 10.71% | 0.6000 | 0.6284 | 0.0451 | 48.9% / 28.6% / 22.5% |
| 57 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 224 | 17.52% | 0.5968 | 0.6230 | 0.0421 | 50.0% / 28.1% / 21.9% |
| 58 | Matchbook | 217 | 0.86% | 0.6092 | 0.6352 | 0.0410 | 47.5% / 29.0% / 23.5% |
| 59 | Unibet (SE) | 237 | 6.10% | 0.5970 | 0.6213 | 0.0391 | 49.8% / 30.0% / 20.3% |
| 60 | PlayUp | 244 | 9.59% | 0.5952 | 0.6181 | 0.0370 | 50.8% / 28.3% / 20.9% |
| 61 | Bet Victor | 220 | 8.04% | 0.5969 | 0.6197 | 0.0368 | 50.5% / 28.6% / 20.9% |
| 62 | Betway | 241 | 7.36% | 0.5924 | 0.6146 | 0.0361 | 50.6% / 30.7% / 18.7% |
| 63 | BetOnline.ag | 245 | 5.69% | 0.5966 | 0.6189 | 0.0361 | 50.6% / 28.6% / 20.8% |
| 64 | LowVig.ag | 257 | 5.72% | 0.5958 | 0.6175 | 0.0352 | 51.0% / 28.0% / 21.0% |
| 65 | BetUS | 220 | 6.62% | 0.6019 | 0.6230 | 0.0338 | 50.0% / 28.2% / 21.8% |
| 66 | TABtouch | 232 | 8.90% | 0.6001 | 0.6205 | 0.0328 | 50.0% / 29.7% / 20.3% |
| 67 | Caesars | 30 | 6.42% | 0.6210 | 0.6400 | 0.0297 | 46.7% / 26.7% / 26.7% |
| 68 | Everygame | 209 | 8.16% | 0.6077 | 0.6256 | 0.0286 | 49.3% / 29.2% / 21.5% |
| 69 | betPARX | 204 | 7.61% | 0.5995 | 0.6159 | 0.0266 | 51.5% / 27.0% / 21.6% |
| 70 | BetRivers | 232 | 8.37% | 0.6030 | 0.6167 | 0.0222 | 51.3% / 27.2% / 21.6% |
| 71 | GTbets | 145 | 5.72% | 0.6086 | 0.6217 | 0.0211 | 50.3% / 27.6% / 22.1% |
| 72 | FanDuel | 191 | 7.00% | 0.6122 | 0.6196 | 0.0120 | 50.8% / 27.2% / 22.0% |
| 73 | Bally Bet | 38 | 6.07% | 0.5912 | 0.5942 | 0.0049 | 55.3% / 23.7% / 21.1% |
| 74 | Bet Right | 139 | 8.49% | 0.6129 | 0.6105 | -0.0039 | 52.5% / 25.9% / 21.6% |
| 75 | TAB | 39 | 7.26% | 0.6057 | 0.5865 | -0.0328 | 56.4% / 20.5% / 23.1% |
500 settled games scored, 84 bookmakers tracked.
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 37 | 6.01% | 0.3934 | 0.4704 | 0.1637 | 62.2% / 37.8% |
| 2 | BoyleSports | 52 | 6.45% | 0.4304 | 0.4970 | 0.1341 | 46.2% / 53.8% |
| 3 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 47 | 4.53% | 0.4272 | 0.4889 | 0.1262 | 57.4% / 42.6% |
| 4 | MyBookie.ag | 33 | 5.00% | 0.4349 | 0.4959 | 0.1230 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 5 | Betsson | 67 | 6.27% | 0.4424 | 0.4999 | 0.1151 | 50.7% / 49.3% |
| 6 | Coolbet | 79 | 5.16% | 0.4461 | 0.4961 | 0.1007 | 54.4% / 45.6% |
| 7 | Pinnacle | 106 | 3.72% | 0.4540 | 0.4972 | 0.0868 | 53.8% / 46.2% |
| 8 | NordicBet | 76 | 6.16% | 0.4573 | 0.5000 | 0.0854 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 9 | Svenska Spel | 72 | 4.37% | 0.4635 | 0.5000 | 0.0730 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 10 | ATG (SE) | 72 | 4.75% | 0.4636 | 0.5000 | 0.0729 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 11 | TABtouch | 91 | 5.29% | 0.4607 | 0.4951 | 0.0694 | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| 12 | Unibet (NL) | 91 | 4.60% | 0.4608 | 0.4951 | 0.0692 | 54.9% / 45.1% |
| 13 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 53 | 5.02% | 0.4465 | 0.4785 | 0.0668 | 60.4% / 39.6% |
| 14 | BetAnything | 44 | 3.93% | 0.4661 | 0.4959 | 0.0601 | 54.5% / 45.5% |
| 15 | Unibet | 99 | 5.07% | 0.4678 | 0.4975 | 0.0597 | 53.5% / 46.5% |
| 16 | ProphetX | 59 | 2.69% | 0.4693 | 0.4987 | 0.0589 | 52.5% / 47.5% |
| 17 | Bovada | 86 | 4.33% | 0.4707 | 0.4997 | 0.0581 | 51.2% / 48.8% |
| 18 | LeoVegas | 77 | 5.09% | 0.4693 | 0.4979 | 0.0575 | 53.2% / 46.8% |
| 19 | Dabble (AU) | 49 | 5.23% | 0.4677 | 0.4948 | 0.0547 | 55.1% / 44.9% |
| 20 | Unibet (SE) | 85 | 4.50% | 0.4738 | 0.4994 | 0.0512 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 21 | LeoVegas (SE) | 85 | 4.88% | 0.4741 | 0.4994 | 0.0507 | 51.8% / 48.2% |
| 22 | Virgin Bet | 55 | 5.31% | 0.4767 | 0.4998 | 0.0462 | 49.1% / 50.9% |
| 23 | Bally Bet | 88 | 4.72% | 0.4776 | 0.4997 | 0.0444 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 24 | betPARX | 88 | 4.72% | 0.4776 | 0.4997 | 0.0444 | 48.9% / 51.1% |
| 25 | Paddy Power | 184 | 5.92% | 0.4795 | 0.5000 | 0.0410 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 26 | SportsBet | 191 | 5.61% | 0.4808 | 0.4999 | 0.0382 | 50.8% / 49.2% |
| 27 | Bet Victor | 162 | 6.77% | 0.4809 | 0.4999 | 0.0381 | 49.4% / 50.6% |
| 28 | 888sport | 162 | 5.52% | 0.4812 | 0.4997 | 0.0370 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 29 | Casumo | 70 | 4.92% | 0.4780 | 0.4963 | 0.0369 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 30 | Grosvenor | 70 | 4.92% | 0.4780 | 0.4963 | 0.0369 | 54.3% / 45.7% |
| 31 | BetRivers | 95 | 5.30% | 0.4817 | 0.4999 | 0.0366 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 32 | LiveScore Bet | 57 | 5.30% | 0.4812 | 0.4986 | 0.0349 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 33 | Mr Green (SE) | 161 | 5.51% | 0.4827 | 0.4995 | 0.0336 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 34 | 888sport (SE) | 161 | 5.51% | 0.4827 | 0.4995 | 0.0336 | 48.4% / 51.6% |
| 35 | Unibet (UK) | 169 | 5.22% | 0.4827 | 0.4991 | 0.0329 | 47.9% / 52.1% |
| 36 | Bet Right | 186 | 4.83% | 0.4855 | 0.4999 | 0.0290 | 50.5% / 49.5% |
| 37 | Odds.School (Mean) | 201 | — | 0.4867 | 0.4997 | 0.0259 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 38 | ReBet | 179 | 7.44% | 0.4864 | 0.4992 | 0.0257 | 48.0% / 52.0% |
| 39 | Betr (AU) | 184 | 5.30% | 0.4869 | 0.4998 | 0.0257 | 51.1% / 48.9% |
| 40 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 201 | — | 0.4868 | 0.4997 | 0.0257 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 41 | Polymarket | 172 | 1.50% | 0.4869 | 0.4997 | 0.0257 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 42 | Odds.School (Median) | 201 | — | 0.4869 | 0.4997 | 0.0257 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 43 | Odds.School (IQM) | 201 | — | 0.4870 | 0.4997 | 0.0255 | 48.8% / 51.2% |
| 44 | Unibet (FR) | 143 | 9.99% | 0.4860 | 0.4980 | 0.0241 | 46.9% / 53.1% |
| 45 | DraftKings | 158 | 4.64% | 0.4884 | 0.4980 | 0.0192 | 46.8% / 53.2% |
| 46 | Fliff | 157 | 5.57% | 0.4881 | 0.4975 | 0.0189 | 46.5% / 53.5% |
| 47 | Winamax (FR) | 137 | 10.58% | 0.4901 | 0.4993 | 0.0186 | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| 48 | Winamax (DE) | 137 | 5.69% | 0.4903 | 0.4993 | 0.0180 | 48.2% / 51.8% |
| 49 | TAB | 84 | 4.61% | 0.4902 | 0.4989 | 0.0174 | 52.4% / 47.6% |
| 50 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 122 | 5.10% | 0.4894 | 0.4979 | 0.0170 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 51 | Neds | 122 | 5.10% | 0.4894 | 0.4979 | 0.0170 | 46.7% / 53.3% |
| 52 | FanDuel | 188 | 4.19% | 0.4903 | 0.4986 | 0.0165 | 47.3% / 52.7% |
| 53 | PlayUp | 167 | 5.09% | 0.4917 | 0.5000 | 0.0165 | 50.3% / 49.7% |
| 54 | Novig | 133 | 2.00% | 0.4888 | 0.4966 | 0.0156 | 45.9% / 54.1% |
| 55 | Fanatics | 176 | 4.61% | 0.4917 | 0.4990 | 0.0145 | 47.7% / 52.3% |
| 56 | Marathon Bet | 64 | 5.66% | 0.4934 | 0.5000 | 0.0132 | 50.0% / 50.0% |
| 57 | GTbets | 138 | 2.70% | 0.4917 | 0.4974 | 0.0114 | 46.4% / 53.6% |
| 58 | PointsBet (AU) | 163 | 4.46% | 0.4942 | 0.4998 | 0.0113 | 50.9% / 49.1% |
| 59 | theScore Bet | 136 | 4.14% | 0.4878 | 0.4931 | 0.0107 | 44.1% / 55.9% |
| 60 | 1xBet | 148 | 2.24% | 0.4927 | 0.4977 | 0.0101 | 46.6% / 53.4% |
| 61 | Hard Rock Bet | 84 | 4.51% | 0.4849 | 0.4898 | 0.0100 | 42.9% / 57.1% |
| 62 | Kalshi | 154 | 1.11% | 0.4911 | 0.4959 | 0.0097 | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| 63 | Smarkets | 153 | 8.69% | 0.4975 | 0.4983 | 0.0015 | 47.1% / 52.9% |
| 64 | Caesars | 143 | 4.31% | 0.4951 | 0.4959 | 0.0015 | 45.5% / 54.5% |
| 65 | LowVig.ag | 141 | 2.57% | 0.4982 | 0.4970 | -0.0025 | 46.1% / 53.9% |
| 66 | BetOnline.ag | 154 | 2.77% | 0.5020 | 0.4987 | -0.0067 | 47.4% / 52.6% |
| 67 | BetMGM | 110 | 4.70% | 0.4962 | 0.4866 | -0.0196 | 41.8% / 58.2% |
| 68 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 98 | 4.88% | 0.5024 | 0.4925 | -0.0201 | 43.9% / 56.1% |
| 69 | Coral | 99 | 4.92% | 0.5024 | 0.4914 | -0.0224 | 43.4% / 56.6% |
| 70 | William Hill | 100 | 5.32% | 0.5120 | 0.4950 | -0.0343 | 45.0% / 55.0% |
| 71 | BetUS | 77 | 3.37% | 0.5267 | 0.4932 | -0.0679 | 44.2% / 55.8% |
| # | Bookmaker | Games | Margin | Brier | Base-rate Brier | BSS | Base rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coral | 261 | 10.08% | 0.5733 | 0.6296 | 0.0894 | 48.7% / 28.7% / 22.6% |
| 2 | Smarkets | 218 | 4.31% | 0.5711 | 0.6271 | 0.0893 | 49.1% / 28.9% / 22.0% |
| 3 | Betclic (FR) | 207 | 10.19% | 0.5708 | 0.6257 | 0.0878 | 48.3% / 31.9% / 19.8% |
| 4 | Suprabets | 40 | 9.24% | 0.5557 | 0.6088 | 0.0872 | 52.5% / 27.5% / 20.0% |
| 5 | Caesars | 36 | 6.39% | 0.5921 | 0.6481 | 0.0864 | 44.4% / 27.8% / 27.8% |
| 6 | PMU (FR) | 223 | 12.01% | 0.5618 | 0.6148 | 0.0861 | 51.1% / 29.1% / 19.7% |
| 7 | Mr Green (SE) | 268 | 9.66% | 0.5709 | 0.6246 | 0.0861 | 49.3% / 29.9% / 20.9% |
| 8 | BetAnything | 123 | 7.00% | 0.5590 | 0.6102 | 0.0839 | 51.2% / 30.9% / 17.9% |
| 9 | Ladbrokes (UK) | 238 | 10.14% | 0.5748 | 0.6268 | 0.0830 | 48.7% / 30.3% / 21.0% |
| 10 | ATG (SE) | 252 | 4.46% | 0.5677 | 0.6188 | 0.0826 | 50.4% / 29.4% / 20.2% |
| 11 | Svenska Spel | 252 | 4.88% | 0.5678 | 0.6188 | 0.0825 | 50.4% / 29.4% / 20.2% |
| 12 | 888sport | 242 | 9.76% | 0.5774 | 0.6283 | 0.0811 | 48.3% / 30.6% / 21.1% |
| 13 | 888sport (SE) | 242 | 9.75% | 0.5775 | 0.6283 | 0.0809 | 48.3% / 30.6% / 21.1% |
| 14 | Odds.School (Weighted) | 299 | — | 0.5766 | 0.6272 | 0.0806 | 48.8% / 29.8% / 21.4% |
| 15 | Odds.School (IQM) | 299 | — | 0.5766 | 0.6272 | 0.0806 | 48.8% / 29.8% / 21.4% |
| 16 | Odds.School (Mean) | 299 | — | 0.5766 | 0.6272 | 0.0806 | 48.8% / 29.8% / 21.4% |
| 17 | Odds.School (Median) | 299 | — | 0.5767 | 0.6272 | 0.0804 | 48.8% / 29.8% / 21.4% |
| 18 | Unibet (FR) | 267 | 13.39% | 0.5803 | 0.6297 | 0.0785 | 48.7% / 28.5% / 22.8% |
| 19 | Kalshi | 139 | 2.12% | 0.5901 | 0.6403 | 0.0784 | 46.0% / 30.2% / 23.7% |
| 20 | Paddy Power | 259 | 9.51% | 0.5822 | 0.6310 | 0.0774 | 47.9% / 30.5% / 21.6% |
| 21 | Casumo | 247 | 7.21% | 0.5698 | 0.6172 | 0.0768 | 50.6% / 29.6% / 19.8% |
| 22 | Fanatics | 115 | 6.28% | 0.5737 | 0.6209 | 0.0760 | 50.4% / 27.8% / 21.7% |
| 23 | NordicBet | 290 | 7.16% | 0.5790 | 0.6266 | 0.0760 | 49.0% / 29.7% / 21.4% |
| 24 | Sky Bet | 201 | 11.39% | 0.5808 | 0.6279 | 0.0750 | 49.3% / 27.4% / 23.4% |
| 25 | Marathon Bet | 248 | 6.74% | 0.5731 | 0.6195 | 0.0749 | 49.2% / 32.3% / 18.5% |
| 26 | Winamax (FR) | 246 | 14.36% | 0.5818 | 0.6281 | 0.0737 | 48.0% / 31.7% / 20.3% |
| 27 | theScore Bet | 112 | 7.26% | 0.5679 | 0.6130 | 0.0736 | 51.8% / 27.7% / 20.5% |
| 28 | betfred_uk | 271 | 8.97% | 0.5864 | 0.6326 | 0.0730 | 48.0% / 29.2% / 22.9% |
| 29 | Coolbet | 264 | 4.97% | 0.5801 | 0.6258 | 0.0729 | 48.5% / 31.4% / 20.1% |
| 30 | Pinnacle | 281 | 5.63% | 0.5849 | 0.6308 | 0.0727 | 48.4% / 28.8% / 22.8% |
| 31 | LiveScore Bet | 268 | 10.83% | 0.5795 | 0.6246 | 0.0722 | 49.3% / 29.9% / 20.9% |
| 32 | Virgin Bet | 268 | 10.82% | 0.5796 | 0.6246 | 0.0720 | 49.3% / 29.9% / 20.9% |
| 33 | Winamax (DE) | 247 | 10.58% | 0.5855 | 0.6307 | 0.0716 | 47.4% / 32.0% / 20.6% |
| 34 | DraftKings | 241 | 7.02% | 0.5908 | 0.6359 | 0.0709 | 47.3% / 29.0% / 23.7% |
| 35 | Unibet | 278 | 7.46% | 0.5808 | 0.6244 | 0.0698 | 48.9% / 30.9% / 20.1% |
| 36 | 1xBet | 251 | 4.56% | 0.5860 | 0.6296 | 0.0693 | 48.2% / 30.3% / 21.5% |
| 37 | Unibet (NL) | 267 | 6.59% | 0.5799 | 0.6226 | 0.0687 | 49.4% / 30.3% / 20.2% |
| 38 | NetBet (FR) | 92 | 12.58% | 0.5717 | 0.6132 | 0.0677 | 52.2% / 25.0% / 22.8% |
| 39 | Codere (IT) | 147 | 8.61% | 0.5844 | 0.6259 | 0.0662 | 47.6% / 33.3% / 19.0% |
| 40 | William Hill | 266 | 9.40% | 0.5833 | 0.6246 | 0.0660 | 49.6% / 28.6% / 21.8% |
| 41 | Bally Bet | 45 | 6.12% | 0.5788 | 0.6193 | 0.0654 | 51.1% / 24.4% / 24.4% |
| 42 | Tipico (DE) | 188 | 8.48% | 0.5900 | 0.6312 | 0.0653 | 46.3% / 34.0% / 19.7% |
| 43 | Betr (AU) | 123 | 7.38% | 0.5476 | 0.5856 | 0.0650 | 56.1% / 26.0% / 17.9% |
| 44 | SportsBet | 253 | 8.91% | 0.5869 | 0.6275 | 0.0648 | 49.0% / 28.9% / 22.1% |
| 45 | LeoVegas | 242 | 9.52% | 0.5869 | 0.6276 | 0.0647 | 48.8% / 29.8% / 21.5% |
| 46 | Betsson | 263 | 7.03% | 0.5837 | 0.6240 | 0.0645 | 49.0% / 30.8% / 20.2% |
| 47 | BetMGM | 201 | 7.32% | 0.5870 | 0.6269 | 0.0636 | 49.3% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 48 | Betfair Exchange (AU) | 250 | 2.68% | 0.5886 | 0.6271 | 0.0614 | 49.2% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 49 | Betfair Exchange (EU) | 250 | 2.53% | 0.5887 | 0.6271 | 0.0613 | 49.2% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 50 | Betfair Exchange (UK) | 250 | 2.53% | 0.5887 | 0.6271 | 0.0613 | 49.2% / 28.4% / 22.4% |
| 51 | Bovada | 252 | 6.95% | 0.5858 | 0.6230 | 0.0597 | 50.0% / 28.2% / 21.8% |
| 52 | Grosvenor | 249 | 7.62% | 0.5846 | 0.6211 | 0.0588 | 49.0% / 32.1% / 18.9% |
| 53 | BoyleSports | 208 | 11.99% | 0.5945 | 0.6311 | 0.0580 | 48.1% / 29.8% / 22.1% |
| 54 | LeoVegas (SE) | 265 | 8.25% | 0.5903 | 0.6258 | 0.0568 | 49.1% / 29.8% / 21.1% |
| 55 | Unibet (UK) | 247 | 6.76% | 0.5943 | 0.6297 | 0.0564 | 47.4% / 32.4% / 20.2% |
| 56 | TAB | 47 | 7.33% | 0.5853 | 0.6193 | 0.0549 | 51.1% / 23.4% / 25.5% |
| 57 | PointsBet (AU) | 196 | 7.56% | 0.5958 | 0.6283 | 0.0518 | 48.0% / 31.6% / 20.4% |
| 58 | Ladbrokes (AU) | 213 | 10.33% | 0.5904 | 0.6217 | 0.0503 | 50.2% / 28.2% / 21.6% |
| 59 | Neds | 207 | 10.52% | 0.5919 | 0.6232 | 0.0502 | 49.8% / 29.0% / 21.3% |
| 60 | Betway | 216 | 7.26% | 0.5917 | 0.6214 | 0.0477 | 48.6% / 32.9% / 18.5% |
| 61 | FanDuel | 183 | 7.42% | 0.6023 | 0.6297 | 0.0435 | 48.1% / 30.6% / 21.3% |
| 62 | LowVig.ag | 225 | 6.51% | 0.5964 | 0.6235 | 0.0434 | 49.3% / 30.2% / 20.4% |
| 63 | BetOnline.ag | 224 | 6.53% | 0.5959 | 0.6228 | 0.0432 | 49.6% / 29.9% / 20.5% |
| 64 | PlayUp | 198 | 9.62% | 0.5963 | 0.6206 | 0.0392 | 50.5% / 27.8% / 21.7% |
| 65 | Unibet (SE) | 213 | 5.90% | 0.6035 | 0.6275 | 0.0382 | 48.4% / 31.0% / 20.7% |
| 66 | Bet Victor | 187 | 8.28% | 0.6021 | 0.6257 | 0.0378 | 49.2% / 29.4% / 21.4% |
| 67 | Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 201 | 16.36% | 0.6052 | 0.6282 | 0.0365 | 48.8% / 29.4% / 21.9% |
| 68 | Everygame | 187 | 10.44% | 0.6013 | 0.6226 | 0.0343 | 49.2% / 31.0% / 19.8% |
| 69 | BetUS | 192 | 6.85% | 0.6009 | 0.6215 | 0.0332 | 50.0% / 29.2% / 20.8% |
| 70 | TABtouch | 207 | 8.91% | 0.6050 | 0.6252 | 0.0323 | 48.8% / 30.9% / 20.3% |
| 71 | betPARX | 186 | 7.57% | 0.6062 | 0.6256 | 0.0309 | 49.5% / 28.5% / 22.0% |
| 72 | Matchbook | 144 | 1.81% | 0.6201 | 0.6342 | 0.0222 | 47.9% / 27.8% / 24.3% |
| 73 | GTbets | 137 | 5.63% | 0.6087 | 0.6223 | 0.0218 | 49.6% / 29.9% / 20.4% |
| 74 | BetRivers | 204 | 8.26% | 0.6102 | 0.6231 | 0.0206 | 49.5% / 29.9% / 20.6% |
| 75 | Bet Right | 131 | 8.27% | 0.6113 | 0.6216 | 0.0166 | 50.4% / 27.5% / 22.1% |