The School of OddsMarta Kostyuk v Jasmine Paolini
Head to Head
Option 1: Marta Kostyuk (Local)
Odds
1.3474.63%Min
1.3972.20%Mean
1.3872.46%Median
1.4568.97%Max
Consensus probabilities
66.42%1.506Min
69.69%1.435Max
68.18%1.467Mean
68.18%1.467Median
68.13%1.468IQM
68.33%1.463Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.45 under the IQM model: 68.13%
EV -1.21%Edge -0.834%Kelly -2.69%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Jasmine Paolini (Visit)
Odds
2.6537.74%Min
2.9633.83%Mean
3.0033.33%Median
3.2031.25%Max
Consensus probabilities
30.31%3.299Min
33.58%2.978Max
31.82%3.142Mean
31.82%3.143Median
31.87%3.138IQM
31.67%3.158Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.20 under the IQM model: 31.87%
EV +1.98%Edge +0.618%Kelly +0.899%Growth +0.018%
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marta Kostyuk (Local) | Jasmine Paolini (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.40I 71.43% NM 69.57%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 30.43%EV +1.98% E +0.618% K +0.899% G +0.018% | 2.7% | 2026-07-06 18:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.39I 71.94% NM 69.38%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.62%EV +0.384% E +0.122% K +0.179% G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-07-06 20:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.37I 72.99% NM 69.69%EV -6.66% E -4.86% K -18.00% G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 30.31%EV +0.384% E +0.122% K +0.179% G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.20%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.80%EV -1.21% E -0.390% K -0.576% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:33 |
| Everygame | 1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV -1.21% E -0.390% K -0.576% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.75%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47% NM 31.25%EV -1.85% E -0.600% K -0.888% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.99%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57% NM 31.01%EV -2.17% E -0.705% K -1.05% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 68.23%EV -3.25% E -2.29% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.77%EV -2.80% E -0.919% K -1.37% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-06 18:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.39I 71.94% NM 68.69%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.31%EV -2.80% E -0.919% K -1.37% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-06 18:34 |
| 1xBet | 1.45I 68.97% NM 67.71%EV -1.21% E -0.834% K -2.69% G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89% NM 32.29%EV -3.12% E -1.03% K -1.53% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-06 20:39 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-06 19:34 |
| theScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Grosvenor | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Casumo | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Unibet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Bally Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| betPARX | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 68.65%EV -6.66% E -4.86% K -18.00% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.35%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:54 |
| betfred_uk | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 18:59 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 18:34 |
| Caesars | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -4.40% E -1.47% K -2.20% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 19:24 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.28%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67% NM 31.72%EV -5.35% E -1.80% K -2.72% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-06 18:54 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -5.99% E -2.03% K -3.07% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -5.99% E -2.03% K -3.07% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| GTbets | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.97%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.03%EV -5.99% E -2.03% K -3.07% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 18:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.97%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.03%EV -5.99% E -2.03% K -3.07% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.13%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.87%EV -5.99% E -2.03% K -3.07% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 20:44 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -7.26% E -2.50% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -5.30% E -3.81% K -13.58% G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -7.26% E -2.50% K -3.80% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 18:49 |
| TAB | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 20:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-06 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.76%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -7.58% E -2.61% K -3.99% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 18:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -8.22% E -2.85% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.36I 73.53% NM 67.92%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.08%EV -8.22% E -2.85% K -4.37% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 19:04 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.21%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84% NM 32.79%EV -8.54% E -2.98% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.21%EV -4.62% E -3.30% K -11.54% G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84% NM 32.79%EV -8.54% E -2.98% K -4.57% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 20:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -3.25% E -2.29% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -9.18% E -3.22% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 20:00 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -3.25% E -2.29% K -7.74% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -9.18% E -3.22% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-06 19:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.36I 73.53% NM 67.70%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.30%EV -9.18% E -3.22% K -4.96% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-06 19:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.22%EV -5.98% E -4.33% K -15.73% G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34% NM 32.78%EV -9.81% E -3.47% K -5.36% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-06 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.91%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.09%EV -12.36% E -4.50% K -7.06% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| ReBet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 66.91%EV -7.34% E -5.40% K -20.39% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 33.09%EV -12.36% E -4.50% K -7.06% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 66.83%EV -8.70% E -6.49% K -25.60% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 33.17%EV -13.96% E -5.17% K -8.21% G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.34I 74.63% NM 66.42%EV -8.70% E -6.49% K -25.60% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 33.58%EV -15.55% E -5.87% K -9.42% G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-06 18:34 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Marta Kostyuk (Local) | Jasmine Paolini (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-07-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25% NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-07-06 20:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.45I 68.97% NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75% NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-07-06 20:35 |
| Novig | 1.41I 70.92% NM 69.21% | 3.17I 31.55% NM 30.79% | 2.5% | 2026-07-06 20:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.33I 75.19% NM 66.67% | 2.66I 37.59% NM 33.33% | 12.8% | 2026-07-06 18:35 |