The School of Odds

Marie Bouzkova v Elise Mertens

2026-07-06 12:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Marie Bouzkova (Local)

1.9551.28%Min
2.0049.94%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0748.31%Max
46.35%2.157Min
48.00%2.083Max
47.12%2.122Mean
47.19%2.119Median
47.17%2.120IQM
47.12%2.122Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.07 under the IQM model: 47.17%

EV -2.36%Edge -1.14%Kelly -2.21%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Elise Mertens (Visit)

1.7557.14%Min
1.7955.75%Mean
1.8055.56%Median
1.8653.76%Max
52.00%1.923Min
53.65%1.864Max
52.88%1.891Mean
52.81%1.894Median
52.83%1.893IQM
52.88%1.891Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.86 under the IQM model: 52.83%

EV -1.73%Edge -0.931%Kelly -2.01%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMarie Bouzkova (Local) ▼Elise Mertens (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet2.07I 48.31% NM 47.33%EV -2.36% E -1.14% K -2.21% G +0.000%1.86I 53.76% NM 52.67%EV -1.73% E -0.931% K -2.01% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 08:20
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31% NM 47.19%EV -2.36% E -1.14% K -2.21% G +0.000%1.85I 54.05% NM 52.81%EV -2.26% E -1.22% K -2.66% G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-05 08:55
DraftKings2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -2.83% E -1.38% K -2.67% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 17:25
Coolbet2.05I 48.78% NM 47.30%EV -3.31% E -1.61% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.84I 54.35% NM 52.70%EV -2.79% E -1.52% K -3.32% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 21:30
Winamax (DE)2.05I 48.78% NM 47.03%EV -3.31% E -1.61% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.97%EV -3.84% E -2.11% K -4.69% G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-04 18:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.31% E -1.61% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 09:45
Betway2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.31% E -1.61% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 14:40
Bovada2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.31% E -1.61% K -3.15% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-04 18:05
FanDuel2.04I 49.02% NM 46.87%EV -3.78% E -1.85% K -3.63% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 53.13%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 09:40
BetOnline.ag2.02I 49.50% NM 47.40%EV -4.72% E -2.34% K -4.63% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.60%EV -3.84% E -2.11% K -4.69% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 12:50
GTbets2.01I 49.75% NM 47.38%EV -5.19% E -2.58% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.81I 55.25% NM 52.62%EV -4.37% E -2.42% K -5.40% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 14:40
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75% NM 47.24%EV -5.19% E -2.58% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.76%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:15
Dabble (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.64%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.82I 54.95% NM 52.36%EV -3.84% E -2.11% K -4.69% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 12:50
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
888sport2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:40
Unibet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Fanatics2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:04
TABtouch2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:40
PMU (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:00
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:19
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:40
betPARX2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 08:15
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 10:05
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 14:40
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 13:50
Hard Rock Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:25
William Hill2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 15:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:00
Neds2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 16:15
Everygame2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 20:14
TAB2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 12:50
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 13:15
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 18:00
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 10:05
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 18:00
Betclic (FR)2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 07:15
MyBookie.ag2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 10:10
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.49% E -3.66% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 18:00
BetMGM2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.49% E -3.66% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 16:10
Caesars2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.49% E -3.66% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 22:45
Coral2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -7.54% E -4.31% K -10.06% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 16:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -5.66% E -2.83% K -5.66% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -7.54% E -4.31% K -10.06% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-04 16:15
Betr (AU)1.99I 50.25% NM 47.35%EV -6.14% E -3.08% K -6.20% G +0.000%1.79I 55.87% NM 52.65%EV -5.43% E -3.03% K -6.87% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 08:45
NordicBet1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.14% E -3.08% K -6.20% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 17:59
Betsson1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.14% E -3.08% K -6.20% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 18:00
NetBet (FR)1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.14% E -3.08% K -6.20% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 21:34
PlayUp1.98I 50.51% NM 47.62%EV -6.61% E -3.34% K -6.74% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.38%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:50
LiveScore Bet1.98I 50.51% NM 47.34%EV -6.61% E -3.34% K -6.74% G +0.000%1.78I 56.18% NM 52.66%EV -5.96% E -3.35% K -7.64% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 08:15
ReBet1.98I 50.51% NM 47.20%EV -6.61% E -3.34% K -6.74% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 52.80%EV -6.49% E -3.66% K -8.42% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 10:05
LeoVegas1.98I 50.51% NM 46.92%EV -6.61% E -3.34% K -6.74% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.08%EV -7.54% E -4.31% K -10.06% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 18:00
BetAnything1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -8.02% E -4.11% K -8.45% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 12:35
BetUS1.95I 51.28% NM 48.00%EV -8.02% E -4.11% K -8.45% G +0.000%1.80I 55.56% NM 52.00%EV -4.90% E -2.72% K -6.13% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 01:10
Fliff1.95I 51.28% NM 47.58%EV -8.02% E -4.11% K -8.45% G +0.000%1.77I 56.50% NM 52.42%EV -6.49% E -3.66% K -8.42% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 18:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -8.02% E -4.11% K -8.45% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -7.54% E -4.31% K -10.06% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-04 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerMarie Bouzkova (Local)Elise Mertens (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%1.89I 52.91%0.5%2026-07-05 10:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%1.89I 52.91%0.5%2026-07-05 10:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%1.89I 52.91%0.5%2026-07-05 10:00
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%1.89I 52.91%1.0%2026-07-05 12:30
Novig2.08I 48.08%1.87I 53.48%1.6%2026-07-05 13:50
ProphetX2.07I 48.31%1.87I 53.48%1.8%2026-07-05 10:10
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%1.87I 53.48%2.0%2026-07-05 12:45