The School of Odds

Madison Keys v Linda Noskova

2026-07-06 14:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis)

Option 1: Madison Keys (Local)

1.5664.10%Min
1.6560.76%Mean
1.6560.61%Median
1.7158.48%Max
56.07%1.783Min
58.97%1.696Max
57.65%1.735Mean
57.68%1.734Median
57.67%1.734IQM
57.65%1.735Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.71 under the IQM model: 57.67%

EV -1.38%Edge -0.807%Kelly -1.94%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Linda Noskova (Visit)

2.1047.62%Min
2.2344.82%Mean
2.2344.84%Median
2.3542.55%Max
41.03%2.438Min
43.93%2.276Max
42.35%2.361Mean
42.32%2.363Median
42.33%2.363IQM
42.35%2.361Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.35 under the IQM model: 42.33%

EV -0.531%Edge -0.226%Kelly -0.393%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerMadison Keys (Local) ▼Linda Noskova (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.71I 58.48% NM 57.36%EV -1.38% E -0.807% K -1.94% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 42.64%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 08:20
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48% NM 56.93%EV -1.38% E -0.807% K -1.94% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 43.07%EV -4.34% E -1.92% K -3.44% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 09:25
Coolbet1.70I 58.82% NM 57.18%EV -1.96% E -1.15% K -2.79% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 42.82%EV -3.92% E -1.73% K -3.08% G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-05 12:05
DraftKings1.70I 58.82% NM 56.07%EV -1.96% E -1.15% K -2.79% G +0.000%2.17I 46.08% NM 43.93%EV -8.15% E -3.76% K -6.97% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 08:10
Bovada1.67I 59.88% NM 57.40%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.60%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 08:12
888sport1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:05
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:10
Neds1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:10
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:05
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 08:05
BetAnything1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
BetUS1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -3.69% E -2.21% K -5.50% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 11:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -0.531% E -0.226% K -0.393% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 14:15
Fanatics1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 13:44
Betway1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 14:10
FanDuel1.65I 60.61% NM 58.02%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.98%EV -3.49% E -1.53% K -2.73% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 08:29
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:15
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:15
Marathon Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:20
Unibet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
PMU (FR)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
BetRivers1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Casumo1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
TABtouch1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
ATG (SE)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
betPARX1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Svenska Spel1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 57.47%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.53%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:13
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 08:15
Betr (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 14:00
Everygame1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 08:10
BetMGM1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 08:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -9.00% E -4.18% K -7.82% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 08:10
Coral1.65I 60.61% NM 56.58%EV -4.84% E -2.93% K -7.45% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 43.42%EV -9.00% E -4.18% K -7.82% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 08:10
SportsBet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -5.42% E -3.30% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -3.92% E -1.73% K -3.08% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 21:05
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -5.42% E -3.30% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:10
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 57.29%EV -5.42% E -3.30% K -8.46% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.71%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.99%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.01%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:40
Unibet (UK)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.88%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.24I 44.64% NM 42.12%EV -5.19% E -2.32% K -4.18% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 08:15
Betclic (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:14
MyBookie.ag1.63I 61.35% NM 57.77%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.23%EV -5.61% E -2.52% K -4.56% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 13:45
Betsson1.63I 61.35% NM 57.66%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.34%EV -6.03% E -2.72% K -4.95% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 08:10
NordicBet1.63I 61.35% NM 57.66%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.34%EV -6.03% E -2.72% K -4.95% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 08:15
NetBet (FR)1.63I 61.35% NM 57.66%EV -5.99% E -3.68% K -9.51% G +0.000%2.22I 45.05% NM 42.34%EV -6.03% E -2.72% K -4.95% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 08:30
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 09:15
Dabble (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:15
TAB1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 14:15
GTbets1.62I 61.73% NM 58.46%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.54%EV -3.49% E -1.53% K -2.73% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:35
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 21:05
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 18:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Caesars1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -4.76% E -2.12% K -3.81% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:38
ReBet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.70%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.21I 45.25% NM 42.30%EV -6.46% E -2.92% K -5.34% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 13:45
Fliff1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -6.57% E -4.06% K -10.60% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 08:20
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11% NM 57.74%EV -7.15% E -4.44% K -11.72% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.26%EV -6.88% E -3.13% K -5.73% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 08:15
PlayUp1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -7.72% E -4.83% K -12.87% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -2.65% E -1.15% K -2.04% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:15
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50% NM 57.67%EV -7.72% E -4.83% K -12.87% G +0.000%2.18I 45.87% NM 42.33%EV -7.73% E -3.54% K -6.55% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 14:00
Winamax (FR)1.56I 64.10% NM 57.38%EV -10.03% E -6.43% K -17.91% G +0.000%2.10I 47.62% NM 42.62%EV -11.11% E -5.29% K -10.10% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-05 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerMadison Keys (Local)Linda Noskova (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.71I 58.48%2.38I 42.02%0.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.71I 58.48%2.38I 42.02%0.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%2.38I 42.02%0.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%2.38I 42.02%0.5%2026-07-05 14:05
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%2.32I 43.10%1.6%2026-07-05 13:15
Novig1.67I 59.88%2.35I 42.55%2.4%2026-07-05 14:30
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%2.30I 43.48%2.6%2026-07-05 14:25