The School of Odds

Linda Noskova v Elise Mertens

2026-07-07 09:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Option 1: Linda Noskova (Local)

1.5265.79%Min
1.6261.83%Mean
1.6261.73%Median
1.6759.88%Max
57.14%1.750Min
59.34%1.685Max
58.60%1.707Mean
58.67%1.704Median
58.62%1.706IQM
58.61%1.706Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.67 under the IQM model: 58.62%

EV -2.10%Edge -1.26%Kelly -3.14%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Elise Mertens (Visit)

2.1546.51%Min
2.2744.03%Mean
2.2843.86%Median
2.3742.19%Max
40.66%2.460Min
42.86%2.333Max
41.40%2.415Mean
41.33%2.420Median
41.38%2.417IQM
41.39%2.416Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.37 under the IQM model: 41.38%

EV -1.93%Edge -0.816%Kelly -1.41%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLinda Noskova (Local) ▼Elise Mertens (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.67I 59.88% NM 58.66%EV -2.10% E -1.26% K -3.14% G +0.000%2.37I 42.19% NM 41.34%EV -1.93% E -0.816% K -1.41% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-06 20:05
Coolbet1.67I 59.88% NM 58.15%EV -2.10% E -1.26% K -3.14% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.85%EV -4.00% E -1.73% K -3.03% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 18:55
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61% NM 58.85%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.36I 42.37% NM 41.15%EV -2.35% E -0.995% K -1.73% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-06 20:25
Betway1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:29
Hard Rock Bet1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 20:34
Bovada1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-06 18:23
DraftKings1.65I 60.61% NM 57.80%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 42.20%EV -6.49% E -2.87% K -5.15% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-06 18:20
Dabble (AU)1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 20:39
PlayUp1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -3.27% E -1.98% K -5.04% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 20:40
Marathon Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.69%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.31%EV -3.59% E -1.54% K -2.70% G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-06 20:00
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Casumo1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Unibet (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Unibet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
PMU (FR)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
TABtouch1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
BetRivers1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Unibet (NL)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Bally Bet1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
betPARX1.64I 60.98% NM 58.16%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 41.84%EV -5.66% E -2.48% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 20:00
Neds1.64I 60.98% NM 57.84%EV -3.86% E -2.35% K -6.03% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 42.16%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 19:59
FanDuel1.62I 61.73% NM 58.88%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 41.12%EV -4.00% E -1.73% K -3.03% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 20:19
SportsBet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.78%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 41.22%EV -4.42% E -1.91% K -3.37% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-06 20:20
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 20:18
William Hill1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 18:49
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 20:35
betfred_uk1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:30
Betr (AU)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:39
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 18:24
BetMGM1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:59
Caesars1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-06 19:24
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73% NM 57.92%EV -5.03% E -3.11% K -8.12% G +0.000%2.23I 44.84% NM 42.08%EV -7.73% E -3.47% K -6.28% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 18:20
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.62% E -3.49% K -9.21% G +0.000%2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -2.76% E -1.18% K -2.05% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-06 18:24
GTbets1.61I 62.11% NM 59.03%EV -5.62% E -3.49% K -9.21% G +0.000%2.32I 43.10% NM 40.97%EV -4.00% E -1.73% K -3.03% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-06 18:20
888sport1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.62% E -3.49% K -9.21% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-06 18:30
Unibet (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 59.08%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.31I 43.29% NM 40.92%EV -4.42% E -1.91% K -3.37% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 18:25
Winamax (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 18:25
Everygame1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 19:29
Tipico (DE)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 20:15
NetBet (FR)1.60I 62.50% NM 58.66%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.27I 44.05% NM 41.34%EV -6.07% E -2.67% K -4.78% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 18:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 20:00
Coral1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:59
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.20% E -3.88% K -10.34% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 19:04
Betsson1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.79% E -4.27% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 18:24
NordicBet1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.79% E -4.27% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 18:24
Fanatics1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.79% E -4.27% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -4.83% E -2.10% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 18:24
Fliff1.59I 62.89% NM 58.59%EV -6.79% E -4.27% K -11.51% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.41%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-06 20:00
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69% NM 59.01%EV -7.96% E -5.07% K -13.97% G +0.000%2.26I 44.25% NM 40.99%EV -6.49% E -2.87% K -5.15% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-06 18:30
LeoVegas1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.96% E -5.07% K -13.97% G +0.000%2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -6.90% E -3.07% K -5.52% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-06 18:25
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52% NM 58.67%EV -9.14% E -5.89% K -16.61% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.33%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 18:28
ReBet1.55I 64.52% NM 58.67%EV -9.14% E -5.89% K -16.61% G +0.000%2.20I 45.45% NM 41.33%EV -8.97% E -4.08% K -7.47% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-06 18:24
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79% NM 58.58%EV -10.89% E -7.17% K -20.95% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 41.42%EV -11.04% E -5.13% K -9.60% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-06 18:25
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79% NM 58.58%EV -10.89% E -7.17% K -20.95% G +0.000%2.15I 46.51% NM 41.42%EV -11.04% E -5.13% K -9.60% G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-06 18:24
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLinda Noskova (Local)Elise Mertens (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24% NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-06 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24% NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-06 20:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24% NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-06 20:35
Matchbook1.66I 60.24% NM 59.11%2.40I 41.67% NM 40.89%1.9%2026-07-06 20:35
Novig1.67I 59.88% NM 58.25%2.33I 42.92% NM 41.75%2.8%2026-07-06 20:20
Smarkets1.52I 65.79% NM 59.79%2.26I 44.25% NM 40.21%10.0%2026-07-06 18:25