The School of Odds

Jasmine Paolini v Alexandra Eala

2026-07-06 12:30 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis)

Option 1: Jasmine Paolini (Local)

2.2544.44%Min
2.3343.00%Mean
2.3243.10%Median
2.4341.15%Max
39.60%2.525Min
41.86%2.389Max
40.75%2.454Mean
40.97%2.441Median
40.85%2.448IQM
40.71%2.456Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.43 under the IQM model: 40.85%

EV -0.725%Edge -0.298%Kelly -0.507%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Alexandra Eala (Visit)

1.5763.69%Min
1.6062.68%Mean
1.6062.50%Median
1.6560.61%Max
58.14%1.720Min
60.40%1.656Max
59.25%1.688Mean
59.03%1.694Median
59.15%1.691IQM
59.29%1.687Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 59.15%

EV -2.41%Edge -1.46%Kelly -3.71%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJasmine Paolini (Local) ▼Alexandra Eala (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet2.43I 41.15% NM 40.29%EV -0.725% E -0.298% K -0.507% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 59.71%EV -3.00% E -1.83% K -4.69% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 11:25
Pinnacle2.43I 41.15% NM 40.15%EV -0.725% E -0.298% K -0.507% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 59.85%EV -3.59% E -2.20% K -5.70% G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-05 11:55
BetOnline.ag2.41I 41.49% NM 40.20%EV -1.54% E -0.640% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 59.80%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 12:00
DraftKings2.41I 41.49% NM 39.60%EV -1.54% E -0.640% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.40%EV -6.55% E -4.14% K -11.29% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 11:20
BetAnything2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -1.95% E -0.813% K -1.39% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:35
Betway2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -1.95% E -0.813% K -1.39% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 11:19
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.77% E -1.16% K -2.01% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 08:25
Coolbet2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.41% E -1.46% K -3.71% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-05 10:00
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 41.10%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 58.90%EV -3.00% E -1.83% K -4.69% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 19:40
Fanatics2.35I 42.55% NM 40.81%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 59.19%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 10:04
Bovada2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 18:15
BetUS2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:10
TAB2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 11:55
Marathon Bet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -5.96% E -3.75% K -10.10% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 11:20
Hard Rock Bet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.36%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.64%EV -5.96% E -3.75% K -10.10% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 08:15
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -6.55% E -4.14% K -11.29% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 08:15
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
BetRivers2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
TABtouch2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Casumo2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Unibet (NL)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
betPARX2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:15
Bally Bet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 08:19
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.99% E -1.70% K -2.96% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 19:39
FanDuel2.34I 42.74% NM 40.91%EV -4.40% E -1.88% K -3.29% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 59.09%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 04:29
SportsBet2.34I 42.74% NM 40.76%EV -4.40% E -1.88% K -3.29% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.24%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 09:05
LiveScore Bet2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -5.22% E -2.25% K -3.95% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -6.55% E -4.14% K -11.29% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 08:15
NetBet (FR)2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -5.22% E -2.25% K -3.95% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -6.55% E -4.14% K -11.29% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:25
GTbets2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:10
Dabble (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 11:55
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 07:40
Neds2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 12:30
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 13:50
888sport2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:54
BetMGM2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:55
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -4.77% E -2.97% K -7.83% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 11:55
Unibet (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 10:05
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 18:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 19:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 20:14
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.96% E -3.75% K -10.10% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:20
Caesars2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -5.96% E -3.75% K -10.10% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 08:23
Fliff2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -6.04% E -2.62% K -4.64% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 08:25
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67% NM 41.13%EV -6.44% E -2.81% K -5.00% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.87%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 19:39
Betclic (FR)2.29I 43.67% NM 41.13%EV -6.44% E -2.81% K -5.00% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.87%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 07:15
MyBookie.ag2.29I 43.67% NM 41.13%EV -6.44% E -2.81% K -5.00% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.87%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 10:10
NordicBet2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.85% E -3.01% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:40
Betsson2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.85% E -3.01% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:40
PlayUp2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.85% E -3.01% K -5.35% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.37% E -3.35% K -8.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:55
ReBet2.26I 44.25% NM 41.30%EV -7.67% E -3.39% K -6.09% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 58.70%EV -5.96% E -3.75% K -10.10% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-05 10:05
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.18% E -2.58% K -6.75% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:55
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:45
Coral2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:30
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -8.08% E -3.59% K -6.46% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.14% E -4.55% K -12.53% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerJasmine Paolini (Local)Alexandra Eala (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%1.68I 59.52%0.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%1.68I 59.52%0.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%1.68I 59.52%0.5%2026-07-05 11:50
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%1.68I 59.52%0.5%2026-07-05 11:45
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%1.67I 59.88%1.2%2026-07-05 12:50
Novig2.38I 42.02%1.65I 60.61%2.6%2026-07-05 14:30
Smarkets2.32I 43.10%1.56I 64.10%7.2%2026-07-05 13:45