The School of OddsAryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
Head to Head
Option 1: Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Odds
1.3772.99%Min
1.4171.14%Mean
1.4071.43%Median
1.4469.44%Max
Consensus probabilities
65.95%1.516Min
68.89%1.452Max
67.69%1.477Mean
67.82%1.475Median
67.79%1.475IQM
67.74%1.476Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 67.79%
EV -2.39%Edge -1.66%Kelly -5.43%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Odds
2.7536.36%Min
2.9434.03%Mean
2.9533.90%Median
3.1032.26%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.11%3.214Min
34.05%2.937Max
32.31%3.095Mean
32.18%3.107Median
32.21%3.104IQM
32.26%3.100Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 32.21%
EV -0.136%Edge -0.044%Kelly -0.065%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Aryna Sabalenka (Local) ▼ | Naomi Osaka (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 1.44I 69.44% NM 67.20%EV -2.39% E -1.66% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.80%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -2.39% E -1.66% K -5.43% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -11.41% E -4.15% K -6.52% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 1xBet | 1.43I 69.93% NM 68.36%EV -3.07% E -2.14% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 3.09I 32.36% NM 31.64%EV -0.458% E -0.148% K -0.219% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.43I 69.93% NM 68.08%EV -3.07% E -2.14% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.92%EV -1.75% E -0.573% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| BetAnything | 1.43I 69.93% NM 67.35%EV -3.07% E -2.14% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.65%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| GTbets | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.90%EV -3.07% E -2.14% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60% NM 33.10%EV -6.90% E -2.39% K -3.65% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.51%EV -3.07% E -2.14% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21% NM 33.49%EV -8.51% E -3.00% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 68.23%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.77%EV -1.75% E -0.573% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 68.23%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79% NM 31.77%EV -1.75% E -0.573% K -0.852% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.87%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 32.13%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.87%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 32.13%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bovada | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.51%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.49%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 67.51%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.49%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Neds | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -8.19% E -2.87% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -8.19% E -2.87% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -3.74% E -2.64% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -11.41% E -4.15% K -6.52% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 14:22 |
| ReBet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 68.03%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.97%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Casumo | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| BetRivers | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Grosvenor | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| TABtouch | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| betPARX | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bally Bet | 1.41I 70.92% NM 67.66%EV -4.42% E -3.14% K -10.79% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.34%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.89%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 31.11%EV -0.136% E -0.044% K -0.065% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.68%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57% NM 31.32%EV -1.10% E -0.359% K -0.533% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betway | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Sky Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| BoyleSports | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| BetUS | 1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| SportsBet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.89%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78% NM 32.11%EV -4.65% E -1.57% K -2.37% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Fanatics | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.74%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01% NM 32.26%EV -5.29% E -1.80% K -2.73% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| 888sport | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| BetMGM | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Everygame | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| betfred_uk | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -7.22% E -2.51% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -7.22% E -2.51% K -3.84% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.21%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84% NM 32.79%EV -7.55% E -2.63% K -4.04% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Coral | 1.40I 71.43% NM 67.21%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84% NM 32.79%EV -7.55% E -2.63% K -4.04% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Bet Victor | 1.40I 71.43% NM 66.67%EV -5.10% E -3.64% K -12.75% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.33%EV -9.80% E -3.50% K -5.44% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:28 |
| Betsson | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -5.78% E -4.16% K -14.81% G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -6.26% E -2.15% K -3.28% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -5.78% E -4.16% K -14.81% G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -6.26% E -2.15% K -3.28% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -5.78% E -4.16% K -14.81% G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -6.26% E -2.15% K -3.28% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| FanDuel | 1.38I 72.46% NM 69.20%EV -6.46% E -4.68% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26% NM 30.80%EV -0.136% E -0.044% K -0.065% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| TAB | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.49%EV -6.46% E -4.68% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.51%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.38I 72.46% NM 68.13%EV -6.46% E -4.68% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.87%EV -4.97% E -1.68% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| Fliff | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.76%EV -6.46% E -4.68% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -6.58% E -2.27% K -3.46% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.46% E -4.68% K -16.99% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -8.19% E -2.87% K -4.43% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.37I 72.99% NM 68.65%EV -7.13% E -5.21% K -19.28% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.35%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Paddy Power | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -7.81% E -5.74% K -21.70% G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -3.36% E -1.12% K -1.68% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Aryna Sabalenka (Local) | Naomi Osaka (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.44I 69.44% | 3.20I 31.25% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.44I 69.44% | 3.20I 31.25% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% | 3.15I 31.75% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.44I 69.44% | 3.15I 31.75% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.44I 69.44% | 3.15I 31.75% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Novig | 1.45I 68.97% | 3.08I 32.47% | 1.4% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.42I 70.42% | 3.10I 32.26% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |