The School of Odds

Taylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik

2026-07-06 16:00 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (22 in analysis)

Option 1: Taylor Fritz (Local)

1.4071.43%Min
1.4768.18%Mean
1.4768.03%Median
1.5166.23%Max
62.96%1.588Min
65.88%1.518Max
64.90%1.541Mean
65.06%1.537Median
65.01%1.538IQM
64.95%1.540Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.51 under the IQM model: 65.01%

EV -1.83%Edge -1.21%Kelly -3.59%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Alexander Bublik (Visit)

2.5040.00%Min
2.6637.53%Mean
2.6537.74%Median
2.8135.59%Max
34.12%2.931Min
37.04%2.700Max
35.10%2.849Mean
34.94%2.862Median
34.99%2.858IQM
35.05%2.853Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.81 under the IQM model: 34.99%

EV -1.69%Edge -0.601%Kelly -0.933%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)

BookmakerTaylor Fritz (Local) ▼Alexander Bublik (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.51I 66.23% NM 64.88%EV -1.83% E -1.21% K -3.59% G +0.000%2.79I 35.84% NM 35.12%EV -2.39% E -0.856% K -1.33% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 14:09
GTbets1.51I 66.23% NM 63.79%EV -1.83% E -1.21% K -3.59% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 36.21%EV -6.94% E -2.61% K -4.18% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-05 11:40
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -7.29% E -2.75% K -4.42% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 09:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.68%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.32%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:45
888sport1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:45
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:00
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:00
TAB1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -2.48% E -1.65% K -4.96% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -10.79% E -4.23% K -6.96% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 09:55
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11% NM 65.35%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.81I 35.59% NM 34.65%EV -1.69% E -0.601% K -0.933% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 10:55
Coolbet1.49I 67.11% NM 65.27%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.73%EV -2.04% E -0.728% K -1.13% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-05 11:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
TABtouch1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
PMU (FR)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
BetRivers1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Virgin Bet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Unibet (NL)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Unibet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Casumo1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
betPARX1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
Bally Bet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.83%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.17%EV -7.99% E -3.04% K -4.90% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 09:20
LiveScore Bet1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -3.13% E -2.10% K -6.39% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 09:20
BetAnything1.48I 67.57% NM 64.59%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.41%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:40
BetUS1.48I 67.57% NM 64.59%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.41%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57% NM 64.16%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.84%EV -7.29% E -2.75% K -4.42% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 09:20
Neds1.48I 67.57% NM 64.16%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.84%EV -7.29% E -2.75% K -4.42% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 09:20
PlayUp1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 12:45
Caesars1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 09:26
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57% NM 63.28%EV -3.78% E -2.55% K -7.87% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.72%EV -10.79% E -4.23% K -6.96% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 09:55
Bovada1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -4.43% E -3.01% K -9.42% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -5.08% E -3.48% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 11:40
Marathon Bet1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -5.08% E -3.48% K -11.04% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 14:05
FanDuel1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -2.04% E -0.728% K -1.13% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 11:39
DraftKings1.45I 68.97% NM 65.72%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 34.28%EV -2.74% E -0.985% K -1.54% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-05 13:35
SportsBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.56%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.44%EV -3.44% E -1.25% K -1.95% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-05 11:39
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:38
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:45
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:40
Codere (IT)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:39
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 11:40
BetMGM1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 09:20
Everygame1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 08:45
MyBookie.ag1.45I 68.97% NM 64.98%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.69I 37.17% NM 35.02%EV -5.89% E -2.19% K -3.48% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 12:40
Betsson1.45I 68.97% NM 64.81%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.19%EV -6.59% E -2.47% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:39
NordicBet1.45I 68.97% NM 64.81%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.19%EV -6.59% E -2.47% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:40
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 64.81%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.19%EV -6.59% E -2.47% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:38
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 64.81%EV -5.73% E -3.95% K -12.73% G +0.000%2.67I 37.45% NM 35.19%EV -6.59% E -2.47% K -3.94% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 11:40
Betway1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:45
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:45
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:39
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 11:40
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -3.79% E -1.38% K -2.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:50
Fanatics1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 12:40
Fliff1.44I 69.44% NM 64.79%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -7.29% E -2.75% K -4.42% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-05 11:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -8.34% E -3.18% K -5.15% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 09:20
Coral1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -8.34% E -3.18% K -5.15% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 09:20
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:39
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -6.38% E -4.43% K -14.50% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 11:45
Unibet (FR)1.43I 69.93% NM 64.52%EV -7.03% E -4.92% K -16.35% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.48%EV -9.04% E -3.48% K -5.65% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 12:40
ReBet1.42I 70.42% NM 64.23%EV -7.68% E -5.41% K -18.29% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.77%EV -10.79% E -4.23% K -6.96% G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-05 12:40
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43% NM 65.85%EV -8.98% E -6.41% K -22.45% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.15%EV -5.54% E -2.05% K -3.26% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 09:25
Winamax (FR)1.40I 71.43% NM 64.10%EV -8.98% E -6.41% K -22.45% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 35.90%EV -12.54% E -5.01% K -8.36% G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-05 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerTaylor Fritz (Local)Alexander Bublik (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%2.92I 34.25%0.9%2026-07-05 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.50I 66.67%2.92I 34.25%0.9%2026-07-05 13:15
Matchbook1.50I 66.67%2.92I 34.25%0.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%2.92I 34.25%0.9%2026-07-05 13:15
ProphetX1.49I 67.11%2.86I 34.97%2.1%2026-07-05 13:10
Smarkets1.48I 67.57%2.86I 34.97%2.5%2026-07-05 13:15
Novig1.47I 68.03%2.82I 35.46%3.5%2026-07-05 13:50