The School of OddsJannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki
Head to Head
Option 1: Jannik Sinner (Local)
Odds
1.00100.00%Min
1.0198.53%Mean
1.0199.01%Median
1.0397.09%Max
Consensus probabilities
91.59%1.092Min
96.84%1.033Max
94.34%1.060Mean
94.39%1.059Median
94.42%1.059IQM
94.48%1.058Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.03 under the IQM model: 94.42%
EV -2.74%Edge -2.66%Kelly -91.42%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit)
Odds
11.009.09%Min
17.605.68%Mean
17.005.88%Median
31.003.23%Max
Consensus probabilities
3.16%31.693Min
8.41%11.891Max
5.66%17.670Mean
5.61%17.832Median
5.58%17.936IQM
5.52%18.115Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 31.00 under the IQM model: 5.58%
EV +72.84%Edge +2.35%Kelly +2.43%Growth +1.77%
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Jannik Sinner (Local) | Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 96.84%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 31.00I 3.23% NM 3.16%EV +72.84% E +2.35% K +2.43% G +1.77% | 2.2% | 2026-07-03 17:35 |
| theScore Bet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 96.26%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85% NM 3.74%EV +44.96% E +1.73% K +1.80% G +0.809% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 13:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 95.75%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 4.25%EV +28.23% E +1.23% K +1.28% G +0.362% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.02I 98.04% NM 95.75%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 4.25%EV +28.23% E +1.23% K +1.28% G +0.362% | 2.4% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 95.79%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 4.21%EV +28.23% E +1.23% K +1.28% G +0.362% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.01I 99.01% NM 95.79%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35% NM 4.21%EV +28.23% E +1.23% K +1.28% G +0.362% | 3.4% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| William Hill | 1.01I 99.01% NM 95.41%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76% NM 4.59%EV +17.08% E +0.813% K +0.854% G +0.146% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 95.41%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76% NM 4.59%EV +17.08% E +0.813% K +0.854% G +0.146% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 95.41%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76% NM 4.59%EV +17.08% E +0.813% K +0.854% G +0.146% | 3.8% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 95.15%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 20.00I 5.00% NM 4.85%EV +11.51% E +0.575% K +0.606% G +0.070% | 3.0% | 2026-07-03 16:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.00I 100.00% NM 95.19%EV -5.58% E -5.58% K +0.000% G +0.000% | 19.80I 5.05% NM 4.81%EV +10.39% E +0.525% K +0.553% G +0.057% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 06:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.95%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26% NM 5.05%EV +5.93% E +0.312% K +0.330% G +0.020% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| SportsBet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.95%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26% NM 5.05%EV +5.93% E +0.312% K +0.330% G +0.020% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.03I 97.09% NM 94.63%EV -2.74% E -2.66% K -91.42% G +0.000% | 18.16I 5.51% NM 5.37%EV +1.25% E +0.069% K +0.073% G +0.001% | 2.6% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| ReBet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.69%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.31%EV +0.357% E +0.020% K +0.021% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.69%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.31%EV +0.357% E +0.020% K +0.021% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 03:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.69%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.31%EV +0.357% E +0.020% K +0.021% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 06:34 |
| Bovada | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.69%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.31%EV +0.357% E +0.020% K +0.021% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-03 17:59 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.00I 100.00% NM 94.74%EV -5.58% E -5.58% K +0.000% G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56% NM 5.26%EV +0.357% E +0.020% K +0.021% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Unibet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| Casumo | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-03 16:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| Grosvenor | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| BetRivers | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| Bally Bet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| betPARX | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| FanDuel | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.02I 98.04% NM 94.34%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.66%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 08:05 |
| 888sport | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Caesars | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.39%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88% NM 5.61%EV -5.22% E -0.307% K -0.326% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-05 07:00 |
| NordicBet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:25 |
| Betsson | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:20 |
| Neds | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 94.06%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25% NM 5.94%EV -10.79% E -0.675% K -0.720% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 06:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.01I 99.01% NM 93.88%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 15.50I 6.45% NM 6.12%EV -13.58% E -0.876% K -0.937% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-03 17:45 |
| BetAnything | 1.02I 98.04% NM 93.81%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 15.45I 6.47% NM 6.19%EV -13.86% E -0.897% K -0.959% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 13:15 |
| Coral | 1.03I 97.09% NM 93.57%EV -2.74% E -2.66% K -91.42% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.43%EV -16.37% E -1.09% K -1.17% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 10:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.03I 97.09% NM 93.57%EV -2.74% E -2.66% K -91.42% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.43%EV -16.37% E -1.09% K -1.17% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Betway | 1.02I 98.04% NM 93.63%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.37%EV -16.37% E -1.09% K -1.17% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 14:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 93.69%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67% NM 6.31%EV -16.37% E -1.09% K -1.17% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 16:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 93.38%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02% NM 6.62%EV -20.55% E -1.44% K -1.55% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 16:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.02I 98.04% NM 93.21%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.79%EV -21.94% E -1.57% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -21.94% E -1.57% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 03:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.01I 99.01% NM 93.27%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14% NM 6.73%EV -21.94% E -1.57% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 16:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.02I 98.04% NM 92.72%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.28%EV -27.52% E -2.12% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-03 17:50 |
| Everygame | 1.02I 98.04% NM 92.72%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69% NM 7.28%EV -27.52% E -2.12% K -2.29% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| TAB | 1.02I 98.04% NM 91.51%EV -3.69% E -3.61% K -184.34% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.49%EV -38.67% E -3.52% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.01I 99.01% NM 91.59%EV -4.63% E -4.59% K -463.11% G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09% NM 8.41%EV -38.67% E -3.52% K -3.87% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-05 06:25 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Jannik Sinner (Local) | Shintaro Mochizuki (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.04I 96.15% | 24.00I 4.17% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 10:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.03I 97.09% | 26.00I 3.85% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.03I 97.09% | 26.00I 3.85% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.03I 97.09% | 26.00I 3.85% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Matchbook | 1.03I 97.09% | 26.00I 3.85% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Novig | 1.03I 97.09% | 25.00I 4.00% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.02I 98.04% | 25.97I 3.85% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |