The School of OddsGrigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery
Head to Head
Option 1: Grigor Dimitrov (Local)
Odds
1.4071.43%Min
1.4668.59%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
63.41%1.577Min
66.82%1.497Max
65.26%1.532Mean
65.22%1.533Median
65.31%1.531IQM
65.34%1.530Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 65.31%
EV -2.03%Edge -1.35%Kelly -4.06%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Arthur Fery (Visit)
Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.6937.20%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.8834.72%Max
Consensus probabilities
33.18%3.014Min
36.59%2.733Max
34.74%2.878Mean
34.78%2.875Median
34.69%2.883IQM
34.66%2.886Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.88 under the IQM model: 34.69%
EV -0.105%Edge -0.037%Kelly -0.056%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Grigor Dimitrov (Local) ▼ | Arthur Fery (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -2.03% E -1.35% K -4.06% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 65.67%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 34.33%EV -1.15% E -0.402% K -0.619% G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Casumo | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Unibet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:18 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:19 |
| betPARX | 1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -2.68% E -1.80% K -5.47% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.48I 67.57% NM 65.66%EV -3.33% E -2.25% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34% NM 34.34%EV -1.84% E -0.650% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Neds | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.16%EV -3.33% E -2.25% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.84%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.16%EV -3.33% E -2.25% K -6.95% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.84%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 65.97%EV -3.99% E -2.71% K -8.49% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 34.03%EV -1.15% E -0.402% K -0.619% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 11:54 |
| BetAnything | 1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.99% E -2.71% K -8.49% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| BetUS | 1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.99% E -2.71% K -8.49% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.92%EV -3.99% E -2.71% K -8.49% G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 35.08%EV -5.65% E -2.08% K -3.29% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.32%EV -3.99% E -2.71% K -8.49% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -4.64% E -3.18% K -10.09% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 08:10 |
| Bovada | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.88%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 34.12%EV -2.88% E -1.03% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.48%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.52%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| PlayUp | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 09:15 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 13:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 06:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Betsson | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.72%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59% NM 35.28%EV -7.74% E -2.91% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.72%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59% NM 35.28%EV -7.74% E -2.91% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.63%EV -5.29% E -3.65% K -11.77% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.37%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| FanDuel | 1.44I 69.44% NM 66.36%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21% NM 33.64%EV -1.49% E -0.526% K -0.811% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 11:49 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 66.04%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 33.96%EV -2.88% E -1.03% K -1.60% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.71%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23% NM 34.29%EV -4.27% E -1.55% K -2.42% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:40 |
| betfred_uk | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 09:25 |
| 888sport | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| William Hill | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:49 |
| Betway | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 09:10 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| TAB | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| ReBet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.79%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Coral | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -9.12% E -3.48% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -9.12% E -3.48% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 11:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 11:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -5.95% E -4.13% K -13.52% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -9.82% E -3.78% K -6.14% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.82%EV -6.60% E -4.62% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72% NM 33.18%EV -0.105% E -0.037% K -0.056% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 12:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.43I 69.93% NM 66.43%EV -6.60% E -4.62% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34% NM 33.57%EV -1.84% E -0.650% K -1.01% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 65.38%EV -6.60% E -4.62% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.62%EV -6.35% E -2.35% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 11:45 |
| Fliff | 1.43I 69.93% NM 64.95%EV -6.60% E -4.62% K -15.35% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.05%EV -8.08% E -3.05% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 11:50 |
| Caesars | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -7.25% E -5.11% K -17.27% G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -4.61% E -1.68% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 13:25 |
| GTbets | 1.41I 70.92% NM 65.36%EV -7.91% E -5.61% K -19.28% G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59% NM 34.64%EV -7.74% E -2.91% K -4.66% G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.40I 71.43% NM 64.10%EV -8.56% E -6.11% K -21.40% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 35.90%EV -13.29% E -5.31% K -8.86% G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Grigor Dimitrov (Local) | Arthur Fery (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.48I 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.48I 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.48I 67.57% | 3.00I 33.33% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| ProphetX | 1.48I 67.57% | 2.94I 34.01% | 1.6% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.47I 68.03% | 2.92I 34.25% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |
| Novig | 1.46I 68.49% | 2.86I 34.97% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 13:30 |