The School of OddsFelix Auger-Aliassime v Novak Djokovic
Head to Head
Option 1: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Odds
2.3542.55%Min
2.4740.51%Mean
2.4640.57%Median
2.5838.76%Max
Consensus probabilities
37.04%2.700Min
39.24%2.548Max
38.19%2.618Mean
38.26%2.614Median
38.27%2.613IQM
38.17%2.620Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.58 under the IQM model: 38.27%
EV -1.27%Edge -0.492%Kelly -0.804%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Novak Djokovic (Visit)
Odds
1.4867.57%Min
1.5365.38%Mean
1.5365.36%Median
1.5863.29%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.76%1.646Min
62.96%1.588Max
61.81%1.618Mean
61.74%1.620Median
61.73%1.620IQM
61.83%1.617Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.58 under the IQM model: 61.73%
EV -2.46%Edge -1.56%Kelly -4.25%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) ▼ | Novak Djokovic (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.58I 38.76% NM 37.98%EV -1.27% E -0.492% K -0.804% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 62.02%EV -2.46% E -1.56% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.55I 39.22% NM 38.11%EV -2.42% E -0.948% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69% NM 61.89%EV -3.08% E -1.96% K -5.40% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-06 01:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.96%EV -2.42% E -0.948% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 62.04%EV -3.70% E -2.37% K -6.60% G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-06 01:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.65%EV -2.42% E -0.948% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94% NM 62.35%EV -4.93% E -3.20% K -9.13% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -2.42% E -0.948% K -1.56% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 22:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.53I 39.53% NM 38.44%EV -3.18% E -1.26% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29% NM 61.56%EV -2.46% E -1.56% K -4.25% G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-05 23:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.53I 39.53% NM 37.99%EV -3.18% E -1.26% K -2.08% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 62.01%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-05 22:35 |
| SportsBet | 2.52I 39.68% NM 37.78%EV -3.57% E -1.42% K -2.35% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.22%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 23:09 |
| Bovada | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -3.70% E -2.37% K -6.60% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-06 01:27 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.27%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.73%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 22:15 |
| betfred_uk | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 22:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| 888sport | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:05 |
| Sky Bet | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:10 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 22:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:09 |
| William Hill | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 23:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -4.33% E -1.73% K -2.89% G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -6.17% E -4.06% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 01:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.56%EV -5.48% E -2.22% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.44%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 22:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.25%EV -5.48% E -2.22% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.75%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 01:29 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.25%EV -5.48% E -2.22% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.75%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-06 01:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.10%EV -5.48% E -2.22% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 61.90%EV -6.17% E -4.06% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-06 01:19 |
| Betsson | 2.46I 40.65% NM 38.19%EV -5.86% E -2.38% K -4.02% G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 61.81%EV -6.17% E -4.06% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 01:19 |
| NordicBet | 2.46I 40.65% NM 38.19%EV -5.86% E -2.38% K -4.02% G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 61.81%EV -6.17% E -4.06% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-06 01:19 |
| GTbets | 2.46I 40.65% NM 37.88%EV -5.86% E -2.38% K -4.02% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 62.12%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 22:19 |
| Neds | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 22:25 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 00:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 01:25 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 01:19 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 02:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 22:29 |
| TAB | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 02:45 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 01:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79% NM 61.71%EV -6.17% E -4.06% K -11.86% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-06 02:45 |
| Fliff | 2.45I 40.82% NM 38.13%EV -6.24% E -2.55% K -4.31% G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23% NM 61.87%EV -6.78% E -4.49% K -13.30% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-06 01:25 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -4.31% E -2.78% K -7.84% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-06 01:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 22:25 |
| Coral | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -5.55% E -3.63% K -10.47% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 22:24 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 01:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-06 01:20 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -8.16% E -3.40% K -5.83% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-05 22:34 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02% NM 38.66%EV -8.92% E -3.75% K -6.47% G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67% NM 61.34%EV -7.40% E -4.93% K -14.80% G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-07-05 22:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55% NM 38.64%EV -10.07% E -4.29% K -7.46% G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 61.36%EV -8.64% E -5.83% K -17.99% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 01:23 |
| ReBet | 2.35I 42.55% NM 38.64%EV -10.07% E -4.29% K -7.46% G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57% NM 61.36%EV -8.64% E -5.83% K -17.99% G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-06 01:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) | Novak Djokovic (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.64I 37.88% | 1.60I 62.50% | 0.4% | 2026-07-06 02:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.64I 37.88% | 1.60I 62.50% | 0.4% | 2026-07-06 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.64I 37.88% | 1.60I 62.50% | 0.4% | 2026-07-06 00:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.64I 37.88% | 1.60I 62.50% | 0.4% | 2026-07-06 02:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.56I 39.06% | 1.60I 62.50% | 1.6% | 2026-07-06 02:45 |
| Novig | 2.53I 39.53% | 1.59I 62.89% | 2.4% | 2026-07-06 02:10 |
| Smarkets | 2.38I 42.02% | 1.46I 68.49% | 10.5% | 2026-07-06 01:20 |