The School of OddsFelix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Head to Head
Option 1: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Odds
1.5365.36%Min
1.5863.23%Mean
1.5863.29%Median
1.6261.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
58.14%1.720Min
61.65%1.622Max
60.43%1.655Mean
60.58%1.651Median
60.52%1.652IQM
60.46%1.654Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 60.52%
EV -1.95%Edge -1.21%Kelly -3.15%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)
Odds
2.2544.44%Min
2.3742.18%Mean
2.3642.37%Median
2.5139.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.35%2.608Min
41.86%2.389Max
39.57%2.527Mean
39.42%2.537Median
39.48%2.533IQM
39.54%2.529Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.51 under the IQM model: 39.48%
EV -0.911%Edge -0.363%Kelly -0.603%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (66 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) ▼ | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -1.95% E -1.21% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -1.95% E -1.21% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -1.95% E -1.21% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -11.18% E -4.97% K -8.94% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 60.34%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.66%EV -3.28% E -1.34% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 13:44 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -2.56% E -1.59% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60I 62.50% NM 61.07%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84% NM 38.93%EV -0.911% E -0.363% K -0.603% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 60.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.51%EV -3.28% E -1.34% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 10:15 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Casumo | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| betPARX | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 14:19 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -3.16% E -1.98% K -5.27% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.64%EV -3.77% E -2.37% K -6.39% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.36%EV -3.28% E -1.34% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -3.77% E -2.37% K -6.39% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 10:53 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -3.77% E -2.37% K -6.39% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 12:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.89%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65% NM 39.11%EV -2.88% E -1.17% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-05 14:04 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.60%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15% NM 39.40%EV -4.07% E -1.67% K -2.85% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.20%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84% NM 39.80%EV -5.65% E -2.36% K -4.06% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -6.04% E -2.54% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 14:28 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.49%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10% NM 40.51%EV -8.41% E -3.63% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -4.37% E -2.77% K -7.54% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 61.14%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.86%EV -2.49% E -1.01% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 61.14%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49% NM 38.86%EV -2.49% E -1.01% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.28% E -1.34% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -3.28% E -1.34% K -2.26% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.55%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49% NM 39.45%EV -4.86% E -2.02% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 09:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -6.04% E -2.54% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 09:55 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -6.04% E -2.54% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -6.04% E -2.54% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 11:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -6.04% E -2.54% K -4.38% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.64%EV -4.98% E -3.17% K -8.74% G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10% NM 40.36%EV -8.41% E -3.63% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 61.58%EV -5.59% E -3.58% K -9.97% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 38.42%EV -1.31% E -0.522% K -0.870% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.56I 64.10% NM 61.00%EV -5.59% E -3.58% K -9.97% G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98% NM 39.00%EV -3.67% E -1.51% K -2.55% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.61%EV -5.59% E -3.58% K -9.97% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.39%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.10%EV -5.59% E -3.58% K -9.97% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -7.23% E -3.08% K -5.35% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 59.38%EV -5.59% E -3.58% K -9.97% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 40.63%EV -9.99% E -4.38% K -7.81% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 13:45 |
| GTbets | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.86%EV -6.19% E -3.99% K -11.26% G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49% NM 39.14%EV -4.86% E -2.02% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.19% E -3.99% K -11.26% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.19% E -3.99% K -11.26% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 09:40 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.19% E -3.99% K -11.26% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.19% E -3.99% K -11.26% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 09:45 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.01%EV -6.80% E -4.41% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49% NM 38.99%EV -4.86% E -2.02% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94% NM 61.01%EV -6.80% E -4.41% K -12.58% G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49% NM 38.99%EV -4.86% E -2.02% K -3.45% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.65%EV -7.40% E -4.84% K -13.96% G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65% NM 38.35%EV -2.88% E -1.17% K -1.98% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.27%EV -7.40% E -4.84% K -13.96% G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32% NM 38.73%EV -4.46% E -1.84% K -3.14% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 14:30 |
| Caesars | 1.53I 65.36% NM 61.07%EV -7.40% E -4.84% K -13.96% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 38.93%EV -5.25% E -2.19% K -3.75% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 09:47 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.05%EV -7.40% E -4.84% K -13.96% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.95%EV -9.20% E -4.00% K -7.08% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 13:41 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.64I 60.98% | 2.54I 39.37% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.64I 60.98% | 2.54I 39.37% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.64I 60.98% | 2.54I 39.37% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.64I 60.98% | 2.54I 39.37% | 0.3% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.63I 61.35% | 2.54I 39.37% | 0.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.62I 61.73% | 2.50I 40.00% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 14:25 |
| Novig | 1.63I 61.35% | 2.47I 40.49% | 1.8% | 2026-07-05 14:20 |