The School of OddsAlex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli
Head to Head
Option 1: Alex de Minaur (Local)
Odds
1.2182.64%Min
1.2480.58%Mean
1.2480.65%Median
1.2878.13%Max
Consensus probabilities
74.23%1.347Min
77.58%1.289Max
76.09%1.314Mean
76.19%1.313Median
76.27%1.311IQM
76.15%1.313Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.28 under the IQM model: 76.27%
EV -2.38%Edge -1.86%Kelly -8.48%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Odds
3.6027.78%Min
3.9925.09%Mean
4.0025.00%Median
4.3622.94%Max
Consensus probabilities
22.42%4.460Min
25.77%3.880Max
23.91%4.182Mean
23.81%4.200Median
23.73%4.214IQM
23.85%4.193Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 4.36 under the IQM model: 23.73%
EV +3.47%Edge +0.795%Kelly +1.03%Growth +0.036%
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 77.58%EV -3.90% E -3.10% K -15.00% G +0.000% | 4.36I 22.94% NM 22.42%EV +3.47% E +0.795% K +1.03% G +0.036% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.23I 81.30% NM 77.55%EV -6.19% E -5.03% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53% NM 22.45%EV +0.855% E +0.201% K +0.263% G +0.002% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| FanDuel | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.99%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10% NM 23.01%EV -1.52% E -0.366% K -0.482% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27I 78.74% NM 76.48%EV -3.14% E -2.47% K -11.62% G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21% NM 23.52%EV -1.99% E -0.482% K -0.637% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 76.35%EV -3.14% E -2.47% K -11.62% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.65%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| BetAnything | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.64%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.36%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-05 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Casumo | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Bally Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| betPARX | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.78%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 23.22%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 77.07%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39% NM 22.93%EV -2.70% E -0.660% K -0.872% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-05 08:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.56%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69% NM 23.44%EV -3.89% E -0.961% K -1.28% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 09:25 |
| Betway | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:49 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:10 |
| William Hill | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Bovada | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 08:35 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 00:45 |
| BetUS | 1.25I 80.00% NM 76.19%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.81%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.34%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.66%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:53 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 76.48%EV -6.19% E -5.03% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.52%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 12:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 10:35 |
| Fliff | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 09:30 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.63%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.37%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 08:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.21I 82.64% NM 76.78%EV -7.71% E -6.38% K -36.73% G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00% NM 23.22%EV -5.08% E -1.27% K -1.69% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.26% E -1.59% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.26% E -1.59% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 10:55 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.26% E -1.59% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 76.11%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32% NM 23.89%EV -6.26% E -1.59% K -2.12% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.97%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 24.03%EV -6.98% E -1.78% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.97%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51% NM 24.03%EV -6.98% E -1.78% K -2.39% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 08:25 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.73%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.27%EV -7.45% E -1.91% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.73%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.27%EV -7.45% E -1.91% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.17%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.83%EV -7.45% E -1.91% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 08:55 |
| Coral | 1.22I 81.97% NM 76.17%EV -6.95% E -5.70% K -31.60% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 23.83%EV -7.45% E -1.91% K -2.57% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| GTbets | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.53%EV -3.90% E -3.10% K -15.00% G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71% NM 24.47%EV -7.69% E -1.98% K -2.66% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.49%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.51%EV -8.64% E -2.24% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| PlayUp | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.49%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.51%EV -8.64% E -2.24% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 09:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.24I 80.65% NM 75.64%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.36%EV -8.64% E -2.24% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 09:50 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30% NM 75.79%EV -6.19% E -5.03% K -26.91% G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97% NM 24.21%EV -8.64% E -2.24% K -3.03% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-05 10:05 |
| TAB | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.25%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 24.75%EV -9.82% E -2.59% K -3.51% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 14:05 |
| betfred_uk | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.01% E -2.94% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.01% E -2.94% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 21:59 |
| Everygame | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -11.01% E -2.94% K -4.00% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 10:40 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13% NM 74.35%EV -2.38% E -1.86% K -8.48% G +0.000% | 3.71I 26.95% NM 25.65%EV -11.96% E -3.22% K -4.41% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 09:25 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65% NM 74.90%EV -5.43% E -4.38% K -22.61% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.10%EV -12.20% E -3.30% K -4.52% G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00% NM 74.23%EV -4.66% E -3.73% K -18.65% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -14.57% E -4.05% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 23:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.21I 82.64% NM 74.84%EV -7.71% E -6.38% K -36.73% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.16%EV -14.57% E -4.05% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-07-05 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Matchbook | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.30I 23.26% | 0.8% | 2026-07-05 13:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.20I 23.81% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 12:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.20I 23.81% | 2.5% | 2026-07-05 13:10 |
| Novig | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.17I 23.98% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 14:00 |