The School of OddsFelix Auger-Aliassime v Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
Head to Head
Option 1: Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local)
Odds
1.3574.07%Min
1.4469.33%Mean
1.4668.49%Median
1.5265.79%Max
Consensus probabilities
62.19%1.608Min
68.60%1.458Max
64.30%1.555Mean
64.20%1.558Median
64.10%1.560IQM
64.29%1.556Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.52 under the IQM model: 64.10%
EV -2.57%Edge -1.69%Kelly -4.95%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit)
Odds
2.5040.00%Min
2.7136.95%Mean
2.6537.74%Median
2.9533.90%Max
Consensus probabilities
31.40%3.185Min
37.81%2.645Max
35.70%2.801Mean
35.80%2.793Median
35.90%2.785IQM
35.71%2.800Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 35.90%
EV +5.91%Edge +2.00%Kelly +3.03%Growth +0.179%
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| BetRivers | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| TABtouch | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Casumo | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| betPARX | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Bally Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.36I 73.53% NM 68.45%EV -12.83% E -9.43% K -35.63% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.55%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 7.4% | 2026-07-03 20:55 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.35I 74.07% NM 68.60%EV -13.47% E -9.98% K -38.48% G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90% NM 31.40%EV +5.91% E +2.00% K +3.03% G +0.179% | 8.0% | 2026-07-03 20:35 |
| GTbets | 1.47I 68.03% NM 65.97%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09% NM 34.03%EV +2.32% E +0.815% K +1.25% G +0.029% | 3.1% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Coolbet | 1.49I 67.11% NM 65.27%EV -4.49% E -3.02% K -9.17% G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71% NM 34.73%EV +0.527% E +0.188% K +0.293% G +0.002% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 00:10 |
| 1xBet | 1.51I 66.23% NM 64.88%EV -3.21% E -2.13% K -6.30% G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84% NM 35.12%EV +0.168% E +0.060% K +0.094% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-04 01:55 |
| SportsBet | 1.42I 70.42% NM 65.78%EV -8.98% E -6.32% K -21.38% G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63% NM 34.22%EV -1.99% E -0.728% K -1.15% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 00:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.48I 67.57% NM 64.76%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76% NM 35.24%EV -2.35% E -0.862% K -1.36% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 64.29%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.71%EV -3.06% E -1.13% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 00:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -6.42% E -4.40% K -13.95% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -3.06% E -1.13% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 01:55 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -3.06% E -1.13% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 23:55 |
| Everygame | 1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -3.06% E -1.13% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-03 23:55 |
| Paddy Power | 1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -7.70% E -5.35% K -17.50% G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -3.06% E -1.13% K -1.80% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| Bovada | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.86%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 36.14%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 01:52 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.32%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.32%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.32%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| theScore Bet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.32%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.68%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Fliff | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.79%EV -7.70% E -5.35% K -17.50% G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74% NM 35.21%EV -4.86% E -1.83% K -2.94% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 01:55 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.23%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88% NM 35.77%EV -5.22% E -1.98% K -3.18% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 00:50 |
| Sky Bet | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.62%EV -7.70% E -5.35% K -17.50% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.38%EV -5.58% E -2.12% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 00:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.44I 69.44% NM 64.62%EV -7.70% E -5.35% K -17.50% G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02% NM 35.38%EV -5.58% E -2.12% K -3.42% G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-04 00:10 |
| betfred_uk | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -5.94% E -2.27% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 00:34 |
| DraftKings | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.90%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 36.10%EV -5.94% E -2.27% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 00:35 |
| Betsson | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.06%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 35.94%EV -5.94% E -2.27% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.47I 68.03% NM 64.06%EV -5.78% E -3.93% K -12.29% G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17% NM 35.94%EV -5.94% E -2.27% K -3.66% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Betway | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 00:39 |
| 888sport | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 00:35 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 01:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 00:40 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| PlayUp | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 00:48 |
| Fanatics | 1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -6.65% E -2.56% K -4.16% G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-04 00:04 |
| TAB | 1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -8.45% E -3.31% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 01:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -3.85% E -2.57% K -7.71% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -8.45% E -3.31% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-03 23:59 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 63.28%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.72%EV -8.45% E -3.31% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.45% E -3.31% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -7.06% E -4.87% K -15.69% G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.45% E -3.31% K -5.45% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Neds | 1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -2.57% E -1.69% K -4.95% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -2.57% E -1.69% K -4.95% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 00:00 |
| Coral | 1.48I 67.57% NM 62.81%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.19%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 00:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.48I 67.57% NM 62.81%EV -5.14% E -3.47% K -10.70% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 37.19%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.44I 69.44% NM 63.45%EV -7.70% E -5.35% K -17.50% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.55%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.61%EV -8.34% E -5.83% K -19.40% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.39%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 00:43 |
| ReBet | 1.43I 69.93% NM 63.61%EV -8.34% E -5.83% K -19.40% G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00% NM 36.39%EV -10.24% E -4.10% K -6.83% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.46I 68.49% | 2.68I 37.31% | 5.8% | 2026-07-03 23:45 |
| Novig | 1.47I 68.03% | 2.63I 38.02% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.45I 68.97% | 2.66I 37.59% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.45I 68.97% | 2.66I 37.59% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.45I 68.97% | 2.66I 37.59% | 6.6% | 2026-07-03 23:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.41I 70.92% | 2.54I 39.37% | 10.3% | 2026-07-04 01:35 |
| Smarkets | 1.41I 70.92% | 2.42I 41.32% | 12.2% | 2026-07-04 00:45 |
Arbitrage (32 combinations)+0.31%Neds 1.52 (66.0%) / Unibet 2.95 (34.0%)Show all 32 combinations
| Felix Auger-Aliassime (Local) | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | BetRivers 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet (NL) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | TABtouch 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | PMU (FR) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Casumo 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Grosvenor 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Virgin Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | betPARX 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | ATG (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Svenska Spel 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Bally Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | Hard Rock Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Neds 1.52 (66.0%) | LiveScore Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | BetRivers 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet (NL) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | TABtouch 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | PMU (FR) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | LeoVegas (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Unibet (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Casumo 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Grosvenor 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Virgin Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | betPARX 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | ATG (SE) 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Svenska Spel 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Bally Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | Hard Rock Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.52 (66.0%) | LiveScore Bet 2.95 (34.0%) | +0.313% |