The School of Odds

Jiri Lehecka v Alexander Zverev

2026-07-06 09:00 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (19 in analysis)

Option 1: Jiri Lehecka (Local)

3.2031.25%Min
3.4628.87%Mean
3.5028.57%Median
3.7826.46%Max
25.00%4.000Min
28.41%3.519Max
27.01%3.703Mean
26.93%3.713Median
27.03%3.699IQM
26.91%3.716Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.78 under the IQM model: 27.03%

EV +2.19%Edge +0.580%Kelly +0.788%Growth +0.017%

Option 2: Alexander Zverev (Visit)

1.2580.00%Min
1.3077.15%Mean
1.3076.92%Median
1.3474.63%Max
71.59%1.397Min
75.00%1.333Max
72.99%1.370Mean
73.07%1.369Median
72.97%1.371IQM
73.09%1.368Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.34 under the IQM model: 72.97%

EV -2.23%Edge -1.66%Kelly -6.55%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJiri Lehecka (Local) ▼Alexander Zverev (Visit)MarginUpdated
SportsBet3.78I 26.46% NM 25.15%EV +2.19% E +0.580% K +0.788% G +0.017%1.27I 78.74% NM 74.85%EV -7.33% E -5.77% K -27.16% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 21:35
Coolbet3.75I 26.67% NM 25.89%EV +1.38% E +0.368% K +0.502% G +0.007%1.31I 76.34% NM 74.11%EV -4.42% E -3.37% K -14.24% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 21:30
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV +1.38% E +0.368% K +0.502% G +0.007%1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -8.79% E -7.03% K -35.17% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 21:35
FanDuel3.70I 27.03% NM 25.85%EV +0.028% E +0.008% K +0.010% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 74.15%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 21:35
Tipico (DE)3.70I 27.03% NM 25.55%EV +0.028% E +0.008% K +0.010% G +0.000%1.27I 78.74% NM 74.45%EV -7.33% E -5.77% K -27.16% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 21:55
1xBet3.64I 27.47% NM 26.91%EV -1.59% E -0.438% K -0.604% G +0.000%1.34I 74.63% NM 73.09%EV -2.23% E -1.66% K -6.55% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-05 01:15
Bovada3.60I 27.78% NM 26.68%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.31I 76.34% NM 73.32%EV -4.42% E -3.37% K -14.24% G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 21:29
Dabble (AU)3.60I 27.78% NM 26.23%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.77%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:40
PlayUp3.60I 27.78% NM 26.23%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.77%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 01:15
TAB3.60I 27.78% NM 26.23%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.77%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 23:44
Paddy Power3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.25I 80.00% NM 74.23%EV -8.79% E -7.03% K -35.17% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 21:35
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78% NM 25.77%EV -2.68% E -0.743% K -1.03% G +0.000%1.25I 80.00% NM 74.23%EV -8.79% E -7.03% K -35.17% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 21:35
DraftKings3.55I 28.17% NM 26.65%EV -4.03% E -1.13% K -1.58% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.35%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 02:10
Winamax (DE)3.55I 28.17% NM 26.65%EV -4.03% E -1.13% K -1.58% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.35%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 21:35
Everygame3.55I 28.17% NM 26.50%EV -4.03% E -1.13% K -1.58% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.50%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 21:25
Betsson3.52I 28.41% NM 26.67%EV -4.84% E -1.37% K -1.92% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.33%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:35
NordicBet3.52I 28.41% NM 26.67%EV -4.84% E -1.37% K -1.92% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.33%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 21:35
GTbets3.51I 28.49% NM 27.63%EV -5.11% E -1.46% K -2.04% G +0.000%1.34I 74.63% NM 72.37%EV -2.23% E -1.66% K -6.55% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 21:25
Betway3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 21:10
888sport3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 21:10
William Hill3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 21:39
Mr Green (SE)3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:14
888sport (SE)3.50I 28.57% NM 27.08%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.92%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 22:15
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:35
Fanatics3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:35
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:40
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:35
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:15
Codere (IT)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:35
MyBookie.ag3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 21:59
theScore Bet3.50I 28.57% NM 26.78%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.22%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 21:35
Fliff3.50I 28.57% NM 26.78%EV -5.38% E -1.54% K -2.15% G +0.000%1.28I 78.13% NM 73.22%EV -6.60% E -5.16% K -23.59% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 21:40
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99% NM 26.75%EV -6.73% E -1.95% K -2.75% G +0.000%1.26I 79.37% NM 73.25%EV -8.06% E -6.40% K -31.01% G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-05 00:20
Marathon Bet3.44I 29.07% NM 27.58%EV -7.00% E -2.04% K -2.87% G +0.000%1.31I 76.34% NM 72.42%EV -4.42% E -3.37% K -14.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 01:10
Hard Rock Bet3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -8.08% E -2.38% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.31I 76.34% NM 72.19%EV -4.42% E -3.37% K -14.24% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 19:04
BetMGM3.40I 29.41% NM 27.81%EV -8.08% E -2.38% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.31I 76.34% NM 72.19%EV -4.42% E -3.37% K -14.24% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 21:35
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -8.08% E -2.38% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 21:35
Coral3.40I 29.41% NM 27.66%EV -8.08% E -2.38% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 72.34%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 21:35
Unibet (FR)3.40I 29.41% NM 27.19%EV -8.08% E -2.38% K -3.37% G +0.000%1.27I 78.74% NM 72.81%EV -7.33% E -5.77% K -27.16% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-04 22:05
Virgin Bet3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Grosvenor3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
TABtouch3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Casumo3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
PMU (FR)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
BetRivers3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
betPARX3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Bally Bet3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Neds3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85% NM 28.27%EV -9.43% E -2.82% K -4.01% G +0.000%1.32I 75.76% NM 71.73%EV -3.69% E -2.79% K -11.52% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 21:35
LiveScore Bet3.30I 30.30% NM 28.26%EV -10.79% E -3.27% K -4.69% G +0.000%1.30I 76.92% NM 71.74%EV -5.15% E -3.96% K -17.15% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 18:30
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77% NM 28.41%EV -12.14% E -3.73% K -5.39% G +0.000%1.29I 77.52% NM 71.59%EV -5.87% E -4.55% K -20.26% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 21:35
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77% NM 27.94%EV -12.14% E -3.73% K -5.39% G +0.000%1.26I 79.37% NM 72.06%EV -8.06% E -6.40% K -31.01% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 21:35
ReBet3.25I 30.77% NM 27.94%EV -12.14% E -3.73% K -5.39% G +0.000%1.26I 79.37% NM 72.06%EV -8.06% E -6.40% K -31.01% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-04 21:35
Winamax (FR)3.20I 31.25% NM 28.09%EV -13.49% E -4.22% K -6.13% G +0.000%1.25I 80.00% NM 71.91%EV -8.79% E -7.03% K -35.17% G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-04 21:35
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerJiri Lehecka (Local)Alexander Zverev (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%1.33I 75.19%0.8%2026-07-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.90I 25.64%1.33I 75.19%0.8%2026-07-05 02:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.90I 25.64%1.33I 75.19%0.8%2026-07-05 02:35
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%1.33I 75.19%0.8%2026-07-05 02:35
ProphetX3.70I 27.03%1.29I 77.52%4.5%2026-07-05 02:40
Novig3.64I 27.47%1.27I 78.74%6.2%2026-07-05 02:10
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%1.24I 80.65%8.8%2026-07-05 00:20