The School of Odds

Grigor Dimitrov v Arthur Fery

2026-07-06 09:00 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Grigor Dimitrov (Local)

Odds
1.3872.46%Min
1.4469.61%Mean
1.4469.44%Median
1.4967.11%Max
Consensus probabilities
64.36%1.554Min
67.44%1.483Max
65.59%1.525Mean
65.63%1.524Median
65.58%1.525IQM
65.62%1.524Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.49 under the IQM model: 65.58%

EV -2.29%Edge -1.54%Kelly -4.68%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Arthur Fery (Visit)

Odds
2.5539.22%Min
2.7336.68%Mean
2.7536.36%Median
2.9034.48%Max
Consensus probabilities
32.56%3.071Min
35.64%2.806Max
34.41%2.906Mean
34.37%2.910Median
34.42%2.905IQM
34.38%2.909Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.90 under the IQM model: 34.42%

EV -0.169%Edge -0.058%Kelly -0.089%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

BookmakerGrigor Dimitrov (Local) ▼Arthur Fery (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet1.49I 67.11% NM 65.83%EV -2.29% E -1.54% K -4.68% G +0.000%2.87I 34.84% NM 34.17%EV -1.20% E -0.419% K -0.643% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 02:55
FanDuel1.48I 67.57% NM 64.76%EV -2.95% E -1.99% K -6.14% G +0.000%2.72I 36.76% NM 35.24%EV -6.37% E -2.34% K -3.70% G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:30
Coolbet1.47I 68.03% NM 65.97%EV -3.60% E -2.45% K -7.67% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 34.03%EV -1.89% E -0.663% K -1.02% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 00:00
Bovada1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -3.60% E -2.45% K -7.67% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 01:29
DraftKings1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -4.26% E -2.92% K -9.26% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 23:40
Neds1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -4.26% E -2.92% K -9.26% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49% NM 64.90%EV -4.26% E -2.92% K -9.26% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.10%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-05 02:30
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -4.92% E -3.39% K -10.92% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 01:30
PlayUp1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -4.92% E -3.39% K -10.92% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 01:34
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -4.92% E -3.39% K -10.92% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 01:30
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.71%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.29%EV -4.99% E -1.81% K -2.83% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 02:05
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
888sport1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:30
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
Betway1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
Winamax (DE)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
TAB1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:30
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 23:40
BetMGM1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 02:30
Dabble (AU)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 01:35
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 01:30
Coral1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 02:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.22%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.78%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 02:29
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 64.62%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 35.38%EV -9.46% E -3.60% K -5.81% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 01:30
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44% NM 64.36%EV -5.57% E -3.87% K -12.66% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.64%EV -10.50% E -4.04% K -6.56% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 02:54
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -3.61% E -1.29% K -2.01% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 23:35
Betsson1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -4.99% E -1.81% K -2.83% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 23:40
NordicBet1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -4.99% E -1.81% K -2.83% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 23:40
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -4.99% E -1.81% K -2.83% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 23:44
Fanatics1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 23:39
Codere (IT)1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 23:40
Fliff1.43I 69.93% NM 65.38%EV -6.23% E -4.35% K -14.48% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.62%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 02:30
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42% NM 65.53%EV -6.88% E -4.85% K -16.39% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.47%EV -7.05% E -2.61% K -4.15% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 23:40
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42% NM 65.11%EV -6.88% E -4.85% K -16.39% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 34.89%EV -8.77% E -3.31% K -5.32% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 01:30
GTbets1.41I 70.92% NM 66.51%EV -7.54% E -5.35% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.49%EV -3.61% E -1.29% K -2.01% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 23:40
SportsBet1.41I 70.92% NM 65.94%EV -7.54% E -5.35% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.73I 36.63% NM 34.06%EV -6.02% E -2.21% K -3.48% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 01:30
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -8.19% E -5.85% K -20.49% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -0.169% E -0.058% K -0.089% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 00:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43% NM 66.27%EV -8.19% E -5.85% K -20.49% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -5.33% E -1.94% K -3.05% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 23:45
ReBet1.40I 71.43% NM 65.00%EV -8.19% E -5.85% K -20.49% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.00%EV -10.50% E -4.04% K -6.56% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 23:40
Betclic (FR)1.40I 71.43% NM 65.00%EV -8.19% E -5.85% K -20.49% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.00%EV -10.50% E -4.04% K -6.56% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 23:39
Winamax (FR)1.38I 72.46% NM 64.89%EV -9.51% E -6.89% K -25.02% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 35.11%EV -12.22% E -4.79% K -7.88% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-04 23:40
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerGrigor Dimitrov (Local)Arthur Fery (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:25
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 02:24
ProphetX1.55I 64.52%2.68I 37.31%1.8%2026-07-05 02:50
Novig1.45I 68.97%2.70I 37.04%6.0%2026-07-05 01:29
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%2.52I 39.68%12.1%2026-07-05 02:30