The School of Odds

Jasmine Paolini v Alexandra Eala

2026-07-05 09:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis)

Option 1: Jasmine Paolini (Local)

2.1546.51%Min
2.3243.05%Mean
2.3342.92%Median
2.4141.49%Max
39.70%2.519Min
41.86%2.389Max
40.92%2.444Mean
41.06%2.435Median
41.03%2.437IQM
40.89%2.446Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.41 under the IQM model: 41.03%

EV -1.12%Edge -0.464%Kelly -0.793%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Alexandra Eala (Visit)

1.5365.36%Min
1.5962.84%Mean
1.5962.89%Median
1.6560.61%Max
58.14%1.720Min
60.30%1.658Max
59.08%1.693Mean
58.94%1.697Median
58.97%1.696IQM
59.11%1.692Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.65 under the IQM model: 58.97%

EV -2.70%Edge -1.64%Kelly -4.15%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJasmine Paolini (Local) ▼Alexandra Eala (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet2.41I 41.49% NM 40.64%EV -1.12% E -0.464% K -0.793% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 59.36%EV -2.70% E -1.64% K -4.15% G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-04 19:45
Coolbet2.40I 41.67% NM 40.45%EV -1.53% E -0.637% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.63I 61.35% NM 59.55%EV -3.88% E -2.38% K -6.16% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 18:24
BetAnything2.40I 41.67% NM 40.15%EV -1.53% E -0.637% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.85%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-04 18:35
Betway2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -1.53% E -0.637% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Hard Rock Bet2.40I 41.67% NM 39.85%EV -1.53% E -0.637% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 60.15%EV -6.24% E -3.92% K -10.57% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:30
Dabble (AU)2.40I 41.67% NM 39.70%EV -1.53% E -0.637% K -1.09% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.30%EV -6.83% E -4.32% K -11.77% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 19:45
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -6.83% E -4.32% K -11.77% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 18:25
Sky Bet2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 19:40
PMU (FR)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
BetRivers2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
TABtouch2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet (SE)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Casumo2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Unibet (NL)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:29
betPARX2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:29
Svenska Spel2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:29
ATG (SE)2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:30
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -2.35% E -0.987% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 18:26
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37% NM 41.15%EV -3.17% E -1.34% K -2.33% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 58.85%EV -2.70% E -1.64% K -4.15% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 20:20
FanDuel2.36I 42.37% NM 40.55%EV -3.17% E -1.34% K -2.33% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.45%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -2.70% E -1.64% K -4.15% G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-04 20:39
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 41.10%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 58.90%EV -3.29% E -2.01% K -5.14% G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-04 19:40
Bovada2.35I 42.55% NM 40.66%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 59.34%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-04 18:15
SportsBet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 19:40
PlayUp2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -6.83% E -4.32% K -11.77% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 19:45
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 18:30
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -3.58% E -1.52% K -2.65% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 19:39
DraftKings2.33I 42.92% NM 41.01%EV -4.40% E -1.89% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.99%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-04 18:10
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92% NM 40.71%EV -4.40% E -1.89% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 59.29%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 19:45
GTbets2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:10
Neds2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 18:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 19:20
888sport2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
BetMGM2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 18:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 20:20
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 19:40
Everygame2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 20:14
Fanatics2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.24% E -3.92% K -10.57% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:45
Caesars2.30I 43.48% NM 40.87%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.59I 62.89% NM 59.13%EV -6.24% E -3.92% K -10.57% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:45
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 19:40
Fliff2.30I 43.48% NM 40.57%EV -5.63% E -2.45% K -4.33% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 59.43%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 18:25
Unibet (UK)2.29I 43.67% NM 41.13%EV -6.04% E -2.64% K -4.68% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.87%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 19:39
NordicBet2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.45% E -2.83% K -5.04% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:40
Betsson2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -6.45% E -2.83% K -5.04% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 19:40
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05% NM 41.34%EV -6.86% E -3.02% K -5.40% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 58.66%EV -5.65% E -3.53% K -9.41% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 21:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 20:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -4.47% E -2.76% K -7.21% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:55
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -5.06% E -3.14% K -8.29% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 19:39
LeoVegas2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:45
Coral2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:30
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 19:45
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -7.68% E -3.41% K -6.15% G +0.000%1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -7.42% E -4.72% K -13.01% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 18:55
MyBookie.ag2.24I 44.64% NM 41.36%EV -8.09% E -3.61% K -6.53% G +0.000%1.58I 63.29% NM 58.64%EV -6.83% E -4.32% K -11.77% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-04 19:49
Betclic (FR)2.19I 45.66% NM 41.60%EV -10.15% E -4.63% K -8.53% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 58.40%EV -8.01% E -5.13% K -14.30% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 19:43
ReBet2.19I 45.66% NM 41.60%EV -10.15% E -4.63% K -8.53% G +0.000%1.56I 64.10% NM 58.40%EV -8.01% E -5.13% K -14.30% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-04 19:40
Unibet (FR)2.15I 46.51% NM 41.58%EV -11.79% E -5.48% K -10.25% G +0.000%1.53I 65.36% NM 58.42%EV -9.78% E -6.39% K -18.44% G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-04 19:40
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerJasmine Paolini (Local)Alexandra Eala (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%1.69I 59.17%0.5%2026-07-04 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%1.69I 59.17%0.5%2026-07-04 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%1.69I 59.17%0.5%2026-07-04 20:40
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%1.69I 59.17%0.5%2026-07-04 20:55
ProphetX2.34I 42.74%1.63I 61.35%4.1%2026-07-04 20:40
Novig2.38I 42.02%1.61I 62.11%4.1%2026-07-04 20:35
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%1.55I 64.52%11.2%2026-07-04 20:25