The School of OddsMarie Bouzkova v Elise Mertens
Head to Head
Option 1: Marie Bouzkova (Local)
Odds
1.8952.91%Min
2.0149.73%Mean
2.0050.00%Median
2.0947.85%Max
Consensus probabilities
45.69%2.189Min
47.58%2.102Max
46.86%2.134Mean
46.95%2.130Median
46.94%2.130IQM
46.86%2.134Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.09 under the IQM model: 46.94%
EV -1.89%Edge -0.903%Kelly -1.73%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Elise Mertens (Visit)
Odds
1.6959.17%Min
1.7856.11%Mean
1.7955.87%Median
1.8554.05%Max
Consensus probabilities
52.42%1.908Min
54.31%1.841Max
53.14%1.882Mean
53.05%1.885Median
53.06%1.885IQM
53.14%1.882Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.85 under the IQM model: 53.06%
EV -1.85%Edge -0.997%Kelly -2.17%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Marie Bouzkova (Local) ▼ | Elise Mertens (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.09I 47.85% NM 46.95%EV -1.89% E -0.903% K -1.73% G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05% NM 53.05%EV -1.85% E -0.997% K -2.17% G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| Coolbet | 2.08I 48.08% NM 46.67%EV -2.36% E -1.13% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 53.33%EV -3.44% E -1.89% K -4.19% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 18:24 |
| Dabble (AU) | 2.08I 48.08% NM 45.69%EV -2.36% E -1.13% K -2.18% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 54.31%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 19:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.07I 48.31% NM 46.92%EV -2.83% E -1.37% K -2.64% G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64% NM 53.08%EV -2.91% E -1.59% K -3.50% G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.06I 48.54% NM 46.35%EV -3.30% E -1.60% K -3.11% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 53.65%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 17:25 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.05I 48.78% NM 47.03%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95% NM 52.97%EV -3.44% E -1.89% K -4.19% G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Betway | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Bovada | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.75%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 53.25%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 20:39 |
| PlayUp | 2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 19:29 |
| Caesars | 2.05I 48.78% NM 45.91%EV -3.77% E -1.84% K -3.59% G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47% NM 54.09%EV -7.68% E -4.41% K -10.38% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 47.26%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25% NM 52.74%EV -3.97% E -2.19% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-04 20:59 |
| FanDuel | 2.02I 49.50% NM 47.12%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.88%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 19:55 |
| Unibet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| TABtouch | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Casumo | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Grosvenor | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Bally Bet | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| betPARX | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.02I 49.50% NM 46.98%EV -5.17% E -2.56% K -5.07% G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87% NM 53.02%EV -5.03% E -2.81% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75% NM 47.38%EV -5.64% E -2.81% K -5.59% G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25% NM 52.62%EV -3.97% E -2.19% K -4.90% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| 888sport | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| betfred_uk | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 14:40 |
| Sky Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 15:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Neds | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 16:15 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -4.50% E -2.50% K -5.62% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 20:14 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 47.09%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.91%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:25 |
| theScore Bet | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 16:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.95%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 53.05%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:04 |
| Coral | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 16:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00% NM 46.38%EV -6.11% E -3.06% K -6.11% G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80% NM 53.62%EV -8.21% E -4.75% K -11.25% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 14:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.58% E -3.31% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 17:59 |
| Betsson | 1.99I 50.25% NM 47.21%EV -6.58% E -3.31% K -6.65% G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18% NM 52.79%EV -5.56% E -3.12% K -7.13% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| LeoVegas | 1.98I 50.51% NM 46.92%EV -7.05% E -3.56% K -7.20% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 53.08%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.97I 50.76% NM 46.17%EV -7.52% E -3.82% K -7.75% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 53.83%EV -10.33% E -6.11% K -14.98% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 18:15 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.96I 51.02% NM 47.17%EV -7.99% E -4.08% K -8.32% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.83%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:05 |
| Fliff | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.58%EV -8.46% E -4.34% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50% NM 52.42%EV -6.09% E -3.44% K -7.91% G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-04 18:04 |
| Bet Victor | 1.95I 51.28% NM 47.30%EV -8.46% E -4.34% K -8.91% G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14% NM 52.70%EV -7.15% E -4.09% K -9.53% G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| ReBet | 1.93I 51.81% NM 47.12%EV -9.40% E -4.87% K -10.11% G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14% NM 52.88%EV -8.74% E -5.08% K -12.14% G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.89I 52.91% NM 47.21%EV -11.28% E -5.97% K -12.67% G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17% NM 52.79%EV -10.33% E -6.11% K -14.98% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 18:00 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Marie Bouzkova (Local) | Elise Mertens (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62% | 1.87I 53.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62% | 1.87I 53.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62% | 1.87I 53.48% | 1.1% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.08I 48.08% | 1.86I 53.76% | 1.8% | 2026-07-04 21:00 |
| Novig | 2.13I 46.95% | 1.80I 55.56% | 2.5% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 2.07I 48.31% | 1.83I 54.64% | 3.0% | 2026-07-04 17:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.94I 51.55% | 1.69I 59.17% | 10.7% | 2026-07-04 20:55 |