The School of OddsMadison Keys v Linda Noskova
Head to Head
Option 1: Madison Keys (Local)
Odds
1.5464.94%Min
1.6162.06%Mean
1.6162.11%Median
1.6660.24%Max
Consensus probabilities
57.54%1.738Min
59.95%1.668Max
58.41%1.712Mean
58.31%1.715Median
58.40%1.712IQM
58.45%1.711Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.66 under the IQM model: 58.40%
EV -3.05%Edge -1.84%Kelly -4.63%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Linda Noskova (Visit)
Odds
2.1047.62%Min
2.2843.93%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.3941.84%Max
Consensus probabilities
40.05%2.497Min
42.46%2.355Max
41.59%2.405Mean
41.69%2.399Median
41.60%2.404IQM
41.55%2.407Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.39 under the IQM model: 41.60%
EV -0.579%Edge -0.242%Kelly -0.416%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Madison Keys (Local) ▼ | Linda Noskova (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24% NM 59.01%EV -3.05% E -1.84% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84% NM 40.99%EV -0.579% E -0.242% K -0.416% G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| DraftKings | 1.66I 60.24% NM 57.54%EV -3.05% E -1.84% K -4.63% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 42.46%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-04 18:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -3.64% E -2.20% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -2.24% E -0.954% K -1.66% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.75%EV -3.64% E -2.20% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 41.25%EV -2.24% E -0.954% K -1.66% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.64% E -2.20% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Bovada | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.23%EV -3.64% E -2.20% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.77%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 18:36 |
| FanDuel | 1.65I 60.61% NM 58.02%EV -3.64% E -2.20% K -5.60% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 41.98%EV -5.15% E -2.26% K -4.03% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.64I 60.98% NM 58.06%EV -4.22% E -2.57% K -6.60% G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05% NM 41.94%EV -5.57% E -2.45% K -4.39% G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-05 01:05 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 19:20 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| TAB | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.67%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.33%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| GTbets | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.46%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 41.54%EV -5.15% E -2.26% K -4.03% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 21:05 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| betfred_uk | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.62I 61.73% NM 58.14%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.86%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73% NM 57.59%EV -5.39% E -3.33% K -8.69% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.41%EV -8.48% E -3.86% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.93%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29% NM 41.07%EV -3.91% E -1.69% K -2.98% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 01:15 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Unibet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| BetRivers | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Grosvenor | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Casumo | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| TABtouch | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| betPARX | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| BetMGM | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 22:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.82%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.18%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 22:15 |
| Betsson | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.40%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25% NM 41.60%EV -5.99% E -2.65% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.40%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25% NM 41.60%EV -5.99% E -2.65% K -4.75% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.61I 62.11% NM 58.29%EV -5.97% E -3.71% K -9.79% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.71%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 01:14 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 18:45 |
| Everygame | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -4.32% E -1.88% K -3.33% G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-04 20:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -5.15% E -2.26% K -4.03% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 18:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.60I 62.50% NM 58.76%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86% NM 41.24%EV -5.15% E -2.26% K -4.03% G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.48% E -3.86% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -6.56% E -4.10% K -10.93% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -8.48% E -3.86% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.59%EV -7.14% E -4.49% K -12.11% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.41%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-04 18:29 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.27%EV -7.14% E -4.49% K -12.11% G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05% NM 41.73%EV -7.65% E -3.45% K -6.27% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 18:40 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.59I 62.89% NM 58.05%EV -7.14% E -4.49% K -12.11% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 41.95%EV -8.48% E -3.86% K -7.07% G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -8.31% E -5.29% K -14.58% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -2.24% E -0.954% K -1.66% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -8.31% E -5.29% K -14.58% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| Coral | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -8.31% E -5.29% K -14.58% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -6.40% E -2.85% K -5.12% G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 21:25 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.02%EV -8.31% E -5.29% K -14.58% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 41.98%EV -9.73% E -4.48% K -8.32% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| ReBet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 58.02%EV -8.31% E -5.29% K -14.58% G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08% NM 41.98%EV -9.73% E -4.48% K -8.32% G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.54I 64.94% NM 57.69%EV -10.06% E -6.53% K -18.63% G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62% NM 42.31%EV -12.64% E -6.02% K -11.49% G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-07-04 18:35 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Madison Keys (Local) | Linda Noskova (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.68I 59.52% | 2.42I 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.68I 59.52% | 2.42I 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.68I 59.52% | 2.42I 41.32% | 0.8% | 2026-07-04 22:45 |
| ProphetX | 1.68I 59.52% | 2.38I 42.02% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.69I 59.17% | 2.34I 42.74% | 1.9% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| Novig | 1.64I 60.98% | 2.25I 44.44% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.59I 62.89% | 2.22I 45.05% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |