The School of Odds

Jessica Pegula v Iva Jović

2026-07-04 09:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

59 sportsbooks (21 in analysis)

Option 1: Jessica Pegula (Local)

1.4270.42%Min
1.4768.24%Mean
1.4768.03%Median
1.5365.36%Max
62.66%1.596Min
65.80%1.520Max
64.27%1.556Mean
64.20%1.558Median
64.26%1.556IQM
64.41%1.553Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.53 under the IQM model: 64.26%

EV -1.68%Edge -1.10%Kelly -3.17%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Iva Jović (Visit)

2.4041.67%Min
2.6537.72%Mean
2.7037.04%Median
2.8035.71%Max
34.20%2.924Min
37.34%2.678Max
35.73%2.799Mean
35.80%2.793Median
35.74%2.798IQM
35.59%2.810Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.80 under the IQM model: 35.74%

EV +0.069%Edge +0.025%Kelly +0.038%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)

BookmakerJessica Pegula (Local)Iva Jović (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet1.49I 67.11% NM 65.27%EV -4.25% E -2.85% K -8.68% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 34.73%EV +0.069% E +0.025% K +0.038% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-03 20:05
GTbets1.45I 68.97% NM 65.80%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.79I 35.84% NM 34.20%EV -0.288% E -0.103% K -0.161% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 15:50
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67% NM 64.95%EV -3.61% E -2.41% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.78I 35.97% NM 35.05%EV -0.646% E -0.232% K -0.363% G +0.000%2.6%2026-07-03 20:40
Bovada1.47I 68.03% NM 65.17%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.83%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 19:47
Dabble (AU)1.46I 68.49% NM 65.32%EV -6.18% E -4.23% K -13.43% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.68%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-03 19:55
DraftKings1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 16:35
Betway1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 19:49
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 19:49
888sport1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 19:50
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 20:09
TAB1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -1.72% E -0.625% K -0.982% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 19:50
1xBet1.53I 65.36% NM 64.08%EV -1.68% E -1.10% K -3.17% G +0.000%2.73I 36.63% NM 35.92%EV -2.43% E -0.891% K -1.41% G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-03 20:40
Hard Rock Bet1.48I 67.57% NM 64.59%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.41%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-03 19:59
Unibet (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
BetRivers1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
TABtouch1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Unibet1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Casumo1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
betPARX1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Svenska Spel1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 19:59
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03% NM 64.75%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 35.25%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-03 20:00
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:54
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:50
PlayUp1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -3.50% E -1.30% K -2.06% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:54
FanDuel1.49I 67.11% NM 64.27%EV -4.25% E -2.85% K -8.68% G +0.000%2.68I 37.31% NM 35.73%EV -4.22% E -1.57% K -2.51% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-03 19:19
SportsBet1.48I 67.57% NM 64.25%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.66I 37.59% NM 35.75%EV -4.93% E -1.86% K -2.97% G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-03 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.45I 68.97% NM 64.63%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.37%EV -5.29% E -2.00% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 20:00
Caesars1.45I 68.97% NM 64.63%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.37%EV -5.29% E -2.00% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-03 19:09
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57% NM 64.08%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.64I 37.88% NM 35.92%EV -5.65% E -2.14% K -3.44% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 20:40
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67% NM 63.68%EV -3.61% E -2.41% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.63I 38.02% NM 36.32%EV -6.01% E -2.28% K -3.69% G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-03 19:14
NetBet (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 64.37%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.63%EV -6.36% E -2.43% K -3.93% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 18:00
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -6.36% E -2.43% K -3.93% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 19:15
NordicBet1.47I 68.03% NM 63.97%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.61I 38.31% NM 36.03%EV -6.72% E -2.58% K -4.17% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 19:15
Betsson1.47I 68.03% NM 63.97%EV -5.54% E -3.77% K -11.78% G +0.000%2.61I 38.31% NM 36.03%EV -6.72% E -2.58% K -4.17% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 19:15
Winamax (DE)1.49I 67.11% NM 63.57%EV -4.25% E -2.85% K -8.68% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.43%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-03 19:14
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 19:14
Coral1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
BetMGM1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 17:35
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 20:38
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 15:50
Fliff1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -7.08% E -2.72% K -4.42% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-03 20:00
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -3.61% E -2.41% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 19:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -3.61% E -2.41% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:35
Neds1.50I 66.67% NM 62.96%EV -3.61% E -2.41% K -7.22% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 37.04%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 17:35
Fanatics1.48I 67.57% NM 63.28%EV -4.89% E -3.31% K -10.19% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.72%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-03 19:15
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97% NM 63.75%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.55I 39.22% NM 36.25%EV -8.87% E -3.48% K -5.72% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-03 19:55
MyBookie.ag1.46I 68.49% NM 63.41%EV -6.18% E -4.23% K -13.43% G +0.000%2.53I 39.53% NM 36.59%EV -9.58% E -3.79% K -6.26% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-03 20:50
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44% NM 63.45%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.55%EV -10.65% E -4.26% K -7.10% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-03 19:35
Betclic (FR)1.45I 68.97% NM 63.20%EV -6.82% E -4.70% K -15.16% G +0.000%2.49I 40.16% NM 36.80%EV -11.01% E -4.42% K -7.39% G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-03 20:40
ReBet1.44I 69.44% NM 63.08%EV -7.46% E -5.18% K -16.96% G +0.000%2.46I 40.65% NM 36.92%EV -12.08% E -4.91% K -8.28% G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-03 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.43I 69.93% NM 62.66%EV -8.11% E -5.67% K -18.85% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.34%EV -14.23% E -5.93% K -10.16% G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-03 19:15
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42% NM 62.83%EV -8.75% E -6.16% K -20.83% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 37.17%EV -14.23% E -5.93% K -10.16% G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-03 19:15
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerJessica Pegula (Local)Iva Jović (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.51I 66.23%2.90I 34.48%0.7%2026-07-03 20:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%2.90I 34.48%0.7%2026-07-03 20:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.51I 66.23%2.90I 34.48%0.7%2026-07-03 20:30
ProphetX1.51I 66.23%2.78I 35.97%2.2%2026-07-03 20:30
Novig1.46I 68.49%2.74I 36.50%5.0%2026-07-03 19:45
Matchbook1.43I 69.93%2.50I 40.00%9.9%2026-07-03 17:35
Smarkets1.42I 70.42%2.40I 41.67%12.1%2026-07-03 19:15