The School of OddsTaylor Fritz v Alexander Bublik
Head to Head
Option 1: Taylor Fritz (Local)
Odds
1.5066.67%Min
1.5763.83%Mean
1.5763.69%Median
1.6261.73%Max
Consensus probabilities
59.28%1.687Min
61.06%1.638Max
60.19%1.661Mean
60.05%1.665Median
60.12%1.663IQM
60.25%1.660Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.62 under the IQM model: 60.12%
EV -2.60%Edge -1.61%Kelly -4.20%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Alexander Bublik (Visit)
Odds
2.2045.45%Min
2.3642.39%Mean
2.3642.37%Median
2.4740.49%Max
Consensus probabilities
38.94%2.568Min
40.72%2.456Max
39.81%2.512Mean
39.95%2.503Median
39.88%2.508IQM
39.75%2.515Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 2.47 under the IQM model: 39.88%
EV -1.50%Edge -0.607%Kelly -1.02%Growth +0.000%
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Taylor Fritz (Local) ▼ | Alexander Bublik (Visit) | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62I 61.73% NM 60.39%EV -2.60% E -1.61% K -4.20% G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49% NM 39.61%EV -1.50% E -0.607% K -1.02% G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 02:25 |
| Coolbet | 1.61I 62.11% NM 60.34%EV -3.21% E -1.99% K -5.25% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.66%EV -2.30% E -0.937% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-05 02:25 |
| Betway | 1.60I 62.50% NM 60.00%EV -3.81% E -2.38% K -6.34% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 40.00%EV -4.29% E -1.79% K -3.06% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 23:20 |
| TAB | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.81% E -2.38% K -6.34% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.81% E -2.38% K -6.34% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:30 |
| Neds | 1.60I 62.50% NM 59.49%EV -3.81% E -2.38% K -6.34% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.51%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:34 |
| GTbets | 1.58I 63.29% NM 60.10%EV -5.01% E -3.17% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.90%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -5.01% E -3.17% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -5.01% E -3.17% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| PlayUp | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.80%EV -5.01% E -3.17% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.20%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -5.01% E -3.17% K -8.64% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| FanDuel | 1.57I 63.69% NM 61.04%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65% NM 38.96%EV -1.90% E -0.771% K -1.30% G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Bovada | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.95%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82% NM 39.05%EV -2.30% E -0.937% K -1.58% G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-04 23:51 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.29% E -1.79% K -3.06% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.45%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.55%EV -4.29% E -1.79% K -3.06% G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.35%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84% NM 39.65%EV -4.69% E -1.96% K -3.37% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-05 02:20 |
| betfred_uk | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:29 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -5.09% E -2.14% K -3.69% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.05%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 39.95%EV -5.89% E -2.49% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 23:40 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 60.05%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 39.95%EV -5.89% E -2.49% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 00:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -5.61% E -3.57% K -9.84% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 02:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.90%EV -6.21% E -3.98% K -11.09% G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15% NM 39.10%EV -3.09% E -1.27% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Betsson | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.20%EV -6.21% E -3.98% K -11.09% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 39.80%EV -5.89% E -2.49% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| NordicBet | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.20%EV -6.21% E -3.98% K -11.09% G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37% NM 39.80%EV -5.89% E -2.49% K -4.33% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Fliff | 1.56I 64.10% NM 60.10%EV -6.21% E -3.98% K -11.09% G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55% NM 39.90%EV -6.28% E -2.67% K -4.65% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 02:35 |
| DraftKings | 1.55I 64.52% NM 61.06%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15% NM 38.94%EV -3.09% E -1.27% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -4.29% E -1.79% K -3.06% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 02:35 |
| Coral | 1.55I 64.52% NM 59.74%EV -6.81% E -4.40% K -12.39% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 40.26%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 02:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.05%EV -8.02% E -5.24% K -15.12% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.95%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36% NM 60.05%EV -8.02% E -5.24% K -15.12% G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48% NM 39.95%EV -8.28% E -3.60% K -6.37% G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.52I 65.79% NM 59.68%EV -8.62% E -5.67% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -10.27% E -4.57% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 23:34 |
| ReBet | 1.52I 65.79% NM 59.68%EV -8.62% E -5.67% K -16.57% G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44% NM 40.32%EV -10.27% E -4.57% K -8.22% G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.50I 66.67% NM 59.46%EV -9.82% E -6.55% K -19.64% G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45% NM 40.54%EV -12.27% E -5.58% K -10.22% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 23:35 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Taylor Fritz (Local) | Alexander Bublik (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig | 1.54I 64.94% | 2.44I 40.98% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |
| ProphetX | 1.59I 62.89% | 2.24I 44.64% | 7.5% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |
| Smarkets | 1.50I 66.67% | 2.24I 44.64% | 11.3% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |
| Matchbook | 1.33I 75.19% | 2.42I 41.32% | 16.5% | 2026-07-05 02:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.37I 72.99% | 2.26I 44.25% | 17.2% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.37I 72.99% | 2.26I 44.25% | 17.2% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.37I 72.99% | 2.26I 44.25% | 17.2% | 2026-07-05 02:40 |