The School of Odds

Ashlyn Krueger v Marta Kostyuk

2026-07-05 09:00 — WTA Wimbledon

Head to Head

64 sportsbooks (22 in analysis)

Option 1: Ashlyn Krueger (Local)

2.5539.22%Min
2.7835.95%Mean
2.7636.17%Median
2.9533.90%Max
32.56%3.071Min
35.11%2.848Max
33.87%2.952Mean
34.05%2.937Median
33.98%2.942IQM
33.79%2.959Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.95 under the IQM model: 33.98%

EV +0.256%Edge +0.087%Kelly +0.131%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Marta Kostyuk (Visit)

1.3872.46%Min
1.4369.98%Mean
1.4369.93%Median
1.4768.03%Max
64.89%1.541Min
67.44%1.483Max
66.13%1.512Mean
65.95%1.516Median
66.02%1.515IQM
66.21%1.510Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.47 under the IQM model: 66.02%

EV -2.96%Edge -2.01%Kelly -6.29%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)

BookmakerAshlyn Krueger (Local) ▼Marta Kostyuk (Visit)MarginUpdated
1xBet2.95I 33.90% NM 33.26%EV +0.256% E +0.087% K +0.131% G +0.000%1.47I 68.03% NM 66.74%EV -2.96% E -2.01% K -6.29% G +0.000%1.9%2026-07-04 18:30
Pinnacle2.93I 34.13% NM 33.11%EV -0.424% E -0.145% K -0.220% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 66.89%EV -4.28% E -2.95% K -9.51% G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-04 17:35
Coolbet2.90I 34.48% NM 33.49%EV -1.44% E -0.498% K -0.760% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 66.51%EV -3.62% E -2.48% K -7.87% G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-04 18:24
BetOnline.ag2.90I 34.48% NM 33.33%EV -1.44% E -0.498% K -0.760% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 66.67%EV -4.28% E -2.95% K -9.51% G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-04 20:34
FanDuel2.90I 34.48% NM 33.03%EV -1.44% E -0.498% K -0.760% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.97%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-04 17:10
Tipico (DE)2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -1.44% E -0.498% K -0.760% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 17:15
Everygame2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -1.44% E -0.498% K -0.760% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 20:14
SportsBet2.89I 34.60% NM 32.95%EV -1.78% E -0.617% K -0.944% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 67.05%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 17:10
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -2.12% E -0.737% K -1.13% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:10
Winamax (DE)2.85I 35.09% NM 33.87%EV -3.14% E -1.10% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 66.13%EV -3.62% E -2.48% K -7.87% G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 17:10
Bovada2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -3.14% E -1.10% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 17:25
BetAnything2.85I 35.09% NM 33.57%EV -3.14% E -1.10% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 66.43%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-04 18:35
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09% NM 33.26%EV -3.14% E -1.10% K -1.70% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 66.74%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-04 18:30
DraftKings2.81I 35.59% NM 33.88%EV -4.50% E -1.60% K -2.49% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 66.12%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 17:25
Unibet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
TABtouch2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
PMU (FR)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Casumo2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
BetRivers2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
betPARX2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Bally Bet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 13:50
Hard Rock Bet2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 18:30
BetMGM2.80I 35.71% NM 33.81%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 66.19%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 17:55
Betr (AU)2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -4.84% E -1.73% K -2.69% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-04 20:10
NetBet (FR)2.77I 36.10% NM 33.89%EV -5.86% E -2.12% K -3.31% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 66.11%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-04 17:20
GTbets2.76I 36.23% NM 34.29%EV -6.20% E -2.25% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.71%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 16:30
NordicBet2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -6.20% E -2.25% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:10
Betsson2.76I 36.23% NM 34.13%EV -6.20% E -2.25% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.87%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 17:10
Dabble (AU)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.68%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.46I 68.49% NM 65.32%EV -3.62% E -2.48% K -7.87% G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-04 17:25
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 18:10
Betway2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 16:30
888sport2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:10
Unibet (UK)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:10
Sky Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 16:10
William Hill2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 14:20
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:10
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:10
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:55
Neds2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -4.94% E -3.43% K -11.22% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:55
Fanatics2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:10
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:10
Winamax (FR)2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 17:10
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 34.21%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 65.79%EV -5.60% E -3.92% K -13.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-04 13:50
theScore Bet2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:10
Caesars2.75I 36.36% NM 34.05%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.95%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-04 17:50
Fliff2.75I 36.36% NM 33.89%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 66.11%EV -6.92% E -4.91% K -16.88% G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-04 17:55
Coral2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 66.27%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.75I 36.36% NM 33.73%EV -6.54% E -2.38% K -3.74% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 66.27%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-04 17:55
PlayUp2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -8.24% E -3.05% K -4.85% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -4.28% E -2.95% K -9.51% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-04 17:05
LeoVegas2.70I 37.04% NM 34.47%EV -8.24% E -3.05% K -4.85% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.53%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-04 17:10
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04% NM 34.15%EV -8.24% E -3.05% K -4.85% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.85%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 17:15
Bet Victor2.70I 37.04% NM 34.15%EV -8.24% E -3.05% K -4.85% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.85%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-04 18:55
MyBookie.ag2.68I 37.31% NM 34.63%EV -8.92% E -3.33% K -5.31% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 65.37%EV -6.26% E -4.41% K -14.90% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-04 17:09
Betclic (FR)2.65I 37.74% NM 34.73%EV -9.94% E -3.75% K -6.02% G +0.000%1.41I 70.92% NM 65.27%EV -6.92% E -4.91% K -16.88% G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-04 18:15
ReBet2.60I 38.46% NM 35.00%EV -11.64% E -4.48% K -7.27% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 65.00%EV -7.58% E -5.41% K -18.95% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-04 17:10
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22% NM 35.11%EV -13.34% E -5.23% K -8.61% G +0.000%1.38I 72.46% NM 64.89%EV -8.90% E -6.45% K -23.42% G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-04 17:10
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerAshlyn Krueger (Local)Marta Kostyuk (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%1.50I 66.67%0.2%2026-07-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.96I 33.78%1.50I 66.67%0.5%2026-07-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%1.50I 66.67%0.5%2026-07-04 20:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.96I 33.78%1.50I 66.67%0.5%2026-07-04 20:55
ProphetX2.96I 33.78%1.47I 68.03%1.8%2026-07-04 19:45
Novig2.82I 35.46%1.43I 69.93%5.4%2026-07-04 21:05
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%1.43I 69.93%9.6%2026-07-04 20:50