The School of Odds

Hubert Hurkacz v Jan-Lennard Struff

2026-07-04 09:00 — ATP Wimbledon

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (18 in analysis)

Option 1: Hubert Hurkacz (Local)

1.3474.63%Min
1.3972.04%Mean
1.3872.20%Median
1.4469.44%Max
66.35%1.507Min
69.51%1.439Max
67.65%1.478Mean
67.58%1.480Median
67.62%1.479IQM
67.73%1.476Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.44 under the IQM model: 67.62%

EV -2.63%Edge -1.82%Kelly -5.97%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)

2.6537.74%Min
2.8934.55%Mean
2.8834.72%Median
3.1032.26%Max
30.49%3.279Min
33.65%2.972Max
32.35%3.091Mean
32.42%3.085Median
32.38%3.088IQM
32.27%3.099Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 32.38%

EV +0.379%Edge +0.122%Kelly +0.181%Growth +0.001%

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

BookmakerHubert Hurkacz (Local)Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel1.39I 71.94% NM 69.04%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.96%EV +0.379% E +0.122% K +0.181% G +0.001%4.2%2026-07-03 20:25
888sport1.36I 73.53% NM 69.51%EV -8.04% E -5.91% K -22.33% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 30.49%EV +0.379% E +0.122% K +0.181% G +0.001%5.8%2026-07-03 20:30
1xBet1.43I 69.93% NM 68.36%EV -3.30% E -2.31% K -7.68% G +0.000%3.09I 32.36% NM 31.64%EV +0.055% E +0.018% K +0.026% G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-03 20:20
SportsBet1.38I 72.46% NM 69.13%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%3.09I 32.36% NM 30.87%EV +0.055% E +0.018% K +0.026% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:25
GTbets1.44I 69.44% NM 67.64%EV -2.63% E -1.82% K -5.97% G +0.000%3.01I 33.22% NM 32.36%EV -2.54% E -0.842% K -1.26% G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-03 18:00
Coolbet1.44I 69.44% NM 67.57%EV -2.63% E -1.82% K -5.97% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 32.43%EV -2.86% E -0.953% K -1.43% G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-03 20:15
Betway1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -2.86% E -0.953% K -1.43% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:15
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -2.86% E -0.953% K -1.43% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:15
Bovada1.40I 71.43% NM 68.18%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.82%EV -2.86% E -0.953% K -1.43% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-03 20:15
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53% NM 68.81%EV -8.04% E -5.91% K -22.33% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 31.19%EV -2.86% E -0.953% K -1.43% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 20:15
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94% NM 68.19%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.98I 33.56% NM 31.81%EV -3.51% E -1.18% K -1.77% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 20:15
Winamax (DE)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.82%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.18%EV -4.48% E -1.52% K -2.30% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 20:15
DraftKings1.39I 71.94% NM 67.97%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.95I 33.90% NM 32.03%EV -4.48% E -1.52% K -2.30% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 20:45
MyBookie.ag1.39I 71.94% NM 67.75%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.92I 34.25% NM 32.25%EV -5.45% E -1.87% K -2.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 20:20
NordicBet1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -5.77% E -1.98% K -3.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 20:15
Betsson1.39I 71.94% NM 67.67%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.91I 34.36% NM 32.33%EV -5.77% E -1.98% K -3.02% G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-03 20:15
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 20:15
Fanatics1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 20:15
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 20:15
PlayUp1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 20:15
William Hill1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 18:25
TAB1.40I 71.43% NM 67.44%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.56%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-03 20:35
Codere (IT)1.39I 71.94% NM 67.60%EV -6.01% E -4.32% K -15.41% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.40%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 20:15
theScore Bet1.38I 72.46% NM 67.76%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 17:50
Fliff1.38I 72.46% NM 67.76%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 32.24%EV -6.10% E -2.10% K -3.21% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-03 20:20
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -6.74% E -2.34% K -3.59% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.29%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.71%EV -6.74% E -2.34% K -3.59% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 20:15
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53% NM 67.92%EV -8.04% E -5.91% K -22.33% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 32.08%EV -6.74% E -2.34% K -3.59% G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-03 20:40
Betr (AU)1.41I 70.92% NM 66.90%EV -4.66% E -3.30% K -11.36% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 33.10%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-03 20:40
Dabble (AU)1.40I 71.43% NM 67.06%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.94%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-03 20:10
LeoVegas1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:35
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Casumo1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Unibet1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
BetRivers1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
PMU (FR)1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
TABtouch1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
betPARX1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
ATG (SE)1.38I 72.46% NM 67.38%EV -6.68% E -4.84% K -17.59% G +0.000%2.85I 35.09% NM 32.62%EV -7.72% E -2.71% K -4.17% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 20:25
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42% NM 66.35%EV -3.98% E -2.80% K -9.48% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.65%EV -9.33% E -3.33% K -5.19% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-03 20:20
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43% NM 66.67%EV -5.33% E -3.81% K -13.33% G +0.000%2.80I 35.71% NM 33.33%EV -9.33% E -3.33% K -5.19% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-03 20:25
Betclic (FR)1.36I 73.53% NM 66.91%EV -8.04% E -5.91% K -22.33% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.09%EV -10.95% E -3.98% K -6.26% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-03 20:14
ReBet1.36I 73.53% NM 66.91%EV -8.04% E -5.91% K -22.33% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 33.09%EV -10.95% E -3.98% K -6.26% G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-03 20:15
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07% NM 66.67%EV -8.71% E -6.45% K -24.90% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 33.33%EV -12.57% E -4.66% K -7.40% G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-03 20:15
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63% NM 66.42%EV -9.39% E -7.01% K -27.62% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 33.58%EV -14.19% E -5.36% K -8.60% G +0.000%12.4%2026-07-03 20:15
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerHubert Hurkacz (Local)Jan-Lennard Struff (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Novig1.37I 72.99%3.03I 33.00%6.0%2026-07-03 20:45
Smarkets1.34I 74.63%2.66I 37.59%12.2%2026-07-03 20:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.22I 81.97%2.30I 43.48%25.4%2026-07-03 20:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.22I 81.97%2.30I 43.48%25.4%2026-07-03 20:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%2.30I 43.48%25.4%2026-07-03 20:45