The School of OddsAlex de Minaur v Flavio Cobolli
Head to Head
Option 1: Alex de Minaur (Local)
Odds
1.2281.97%Min
1.2878.35%Mean
1.2878.13%Median
1.3375.19%Max
Consensus probabilities
72.49%1.379Min
75.58%1.323Max
74.00%1.351Mean
74.13%1.349Median
74.10%1.350IQM
74.09%1.350Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 1.33 under the IQM model: 74.10%
EV -1.45%Edge -1.09%Kelly -4.40%Growth +0.000%
Option 2: Flavio Cobolli (Visit)
Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.6227.60%Mean
3.6527.40%Median
3.9025.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
24.42%4.095Min
27.51%3.636Max
26.00%3.847Mean
25.87%3.866Median
25.90%3.860IQM
25.91%3.859Margin-weighted
Metrics for max odd 3.90 under the IQM model: 25.90%
EV +1.03%Edge +0.264%Kelly +0.355%Growth +0.004%
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.31I 76.34% NM 74.86%EV -2.94% E -2.24% K -9.47% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 25.14%EV +1.03% E +0.264% K +0.355% G +0.004% | 2.0% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 75.58%EV -6.64% E -5.27% K -25.54% G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64% NM 24.42%EV +1.03% E +0.264% K +0.355% G +0.004% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92% NM 74.51%EV -3.68% E -2.83% K -12.25% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.49%EV -1.56% E -0.411% K -0.558% G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-07-04 20:55 |
| Betway | 1.29I 77.52% NM 74.66%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.34%EV -1.56% E -0.411% K -0.558% G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.28I 78.13% NM 74.80%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32% NM 25.20%EV -1.56% E -0.411% K -0.558% G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Bovada | 1.29I 77.52% NM 74.40%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.60%EV -2.86% E -0.762% K -1.04% G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 19:30 |
| Paddy Power | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -7.38% E -5.90% K -29.52% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -2.86% E -0.762% K -1.04% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| Sky Bet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 75.00%EV -7.38% E -5.90% K -29.52% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 25.00%EV -2.86% E -0.762% K -1.04% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 1.22I 81.97% NM 75.45%EV -9.60% E -7.87% K -43.65% G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67% NM 24.55%EV -2.86% E -0.762% K -1.04% G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 74.30%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03% NM 25.70%EV -4.15% E -1.12% K -1.54% G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| GTbets | 1.33I 75.19% NM 73.51%EV -1.45% E -1.09% K -4.40% G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10% NM 26.49%EV -4.41% E -1.20% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| DraftKings | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.40%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10% NM 25.60%EV -4.41% E -1.20% K -1.64% G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Grosvenor | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| BetRivers | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Casumo | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Bally Bet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| betPARX | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.89%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 26.11%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.28I 78.13% NM 74.04%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.96%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Fanatics | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:09 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.19%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.81%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| Fliff | 1.26I 79.37% NM 74.34%EV -6.64% E -5.27% K -25.54% G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40% NM 25.66%EV -5.45% E -1.49% K -2.06% G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-04 19:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.13%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47% NM 25.87%EV -5.71% E -1.57% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Betsson | 1.27I 78.74% NM 74.13%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47% NM 25.87%EV -5.71% E -1.57% K -2.16% G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| William Hill | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 19:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.62%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.38%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 19:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 73.77%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.23%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-04 20:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.27I 78.74% NM 73.92%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.08%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.27I 78.74% NM 73.92%EV -5.90% E -4.64% K -21.85% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 26.08%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| theScore Bet | 1.26I 79.37% NM 74.07%EV -6.64% E -5.27% K -25.54% G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78% NM 25.93%EV -6.74% E -1.87% K -2.59% G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13% NM 73.50%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.50%EV -8.04% E -2.26% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13% NM 73.50%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.50%EV -8.04% E -2.26% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-04 20:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 73.96%EV -7.38% E -5.90% K -29.52% G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17% NM 26.04%EV -8.04% E -2.26% K -3.15% G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-04 18:55 |
| betfred_uk | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -9.33% E -2.67% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 18:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.29I 77.52% NM 73.07%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.93%EV -9.33% E -2.67% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-04 19:00 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.28I 78.13% NM 73.22%EV -5.16% E -4.03% K -18.42% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.78%EV -9.33% E -2.67% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-04 19:10 |
| LeoVegas | 1.26I 79.37% NM 73.53%EV -6.64% E -5.27% K -25.54% G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57% NM 26.47%EV -9.33% E -2.67% K -3.73% G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Bet Victor | 1.29I 77.52% NM 72.49%EV -4.42% E -3.42% K -15.23% G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41% NM 27.51%EV -11.92% E -3.51% K -4.97% G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 19:28 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.25I 80.00% NM 72.83%EV -7.38% E -5.90% K -29.52% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.17%EV -13.22% E -3.95% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| ReBet | 1.25I 80.00% NM 72.83%EV -7.38% E -5.90% K -29.52% G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85% NM 27.17%EV -13.22% E -3.95% K -5.63% G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 72.85%EV -8.86% E -7.21% K -38.53% G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30% NM 27.15%EV -14.51% E -4.40% K -6.31% G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30% NM 72.54%EV -8.86% E -7.21% K -38.53% G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77% NM 27.46%EV -15.81% E -4.86% K -7.03% G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-07-04 20:10 |
Margin = book's overround · I = implied probability · NM = no-margin (de-vigged) probability · EV = expected value · E = edge · K = Kelly fraction · G = bankroll growth.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Alex de Minaur (Local) | Flavio Cobolli (Visit) | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.50I 22.22% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.50I 22.22% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.50I 22.22% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| Matchbook | 1.27I 78.74% | 4.50I 22.22% | 1.0% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| ProphetX | 1.29I 77.52% | 4.15I 24.10% | 1.6% | 2026-07-04 20:20 |
| Smarkets | 1.23I 81.30% | 3.95I 25.32% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 20:25 |
| Novig | 1.24I 80.65% | 3.64I 27.47% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 20:00 |