The School of Odds

Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Daniel Merida Aguilar

Date: 2026-06-29

Consensus probability analysis for Camilo Ugo Carabelli v Daniel Merida Aguilar across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.83% on Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.

Head to Head (22 books)

Option Best Odds Consensus Growth EV
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local) 2.00 +49.02% +0.000% -1.96%
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit) 2.03 +50.65% +0.077% +2.83%
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.744% (8 combinations).
Outcome Bookmaker Odds Allocation
Camilo Ugo Carabelli (Local) Winamax (DE) 2.00 50.4%
Daniel Merida Aguilar (Visit) 1xBet 2.03 49.6%