The School of Odds

Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley

Date: 2026-06-30

Consensus probability analysis for Alex Michelsen v Jacob Fearnley across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +2.87% on Jacob Fearnley (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.

Head to Head (18 books)

Option Best Odds Consensus Growth EV
Alex Michelsen (Local) 1.83 +53.75% +0.000% -1.63%
Jacob Fearnley (Visit) 2.23 +46.13% +0.067% +2.87%
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.515% (5 combinations).
Outcome Bookmaker Odds Allocation
Alex Michelsen (Local) Ladbrokes (AU) 1.83 54.9%
Jacob Fearnley (Visit) 1xBet 2.23 45.1%