Date: 2026-04-12
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester City across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +1.67% on Chelsea (Local). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 3.13 | +32.48% | +0.013% | +1.67% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | 2.35 | +42.69% | +0.001% | +0.315% |
| Draw | 4.00 | +24.79% | +0.000% | -0.845% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.500% (18 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | BetOnline.ag | 3.13 | 32.1% |
| Manchester City (Visit) | Coolbet | 2.35 | 42.8% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 4.00 | 25.1% |