Date: 2026-06-15
Consensus probability analysis for Ilia Topuria v Justin Gaethje across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +15.48% on Justin Gaethje (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilia Topuria (Local) | 1.20 | +81.82% | +0.000% | -1.81% |
| Justin Gaethje (Visit) | 6.40 | +18.04% | +0.444% | +15.48% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.05% (8 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ilia Topuria (Local) | Paddy Power | 1.20 | 84.2% |
| Justin Gaethje (Visit) | Ladbrokes (AU) | 6.40 | 15.8% |