Date: 2026-04-25
Consensus probability analysis for Manchester City v Southampton across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +14.35% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | 1.25 | +76.97% | +0.000% | -3.79% |
| Southampton (Visit) | 13.40 | +8.18% | +0.075% | +9.66% |
| Draw | 8.00 | +14.29% | +0.294% | +14.35% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.037% (7 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manchester City (Local) | Svenska Spel | 1.25 | 80.0% |
| Southampton (Visit) | 1xBet | 13.40 | 7.5% |
| Draw | SportsBet | 8.00 | 12.5% |