Date: 2026-04-18
Consensus probability analysis for Chelsea v Manchester United across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +3.80% on Draw. Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 2.32 | +42.47% | +0.000% | -1.48% |
| Manchester United (Visit) | 3.40 | +29.86% | +0.010% | +1.54% |
| Draw | 3.80 | +27.32% | +0.052% | +3.80% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +1.18% (412 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea (Local) | 1xBet | 2.32 | 43.6% |
| Manchester United (Visit) | 1xBet | 3.40 | 29.8% |
| Draw | FanDuel | 3.80 | 26.6% |