Date: 2026-04-06
Consensus probability analysis for Napoli v AC Milan across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +0.921% on AC Milan (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (Local) | 2.76 | +35.92% | +0.000% | -0.865% |
| AC Milan (Visit) | 3.10 | +32.56% | +0.004% | +0.921% |
| Draw | 3.20 | +31.15% | +0.000% | -0.332% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.261% (6 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (Local) | 1xBet | 2.76 | 36.3% |
| AC Milan (Visit) | Tipico (DE) | 3.10 | 32.3% |
| Draw | SportsBet | 3.20 | 31.3% |