Date: 2026-04-04
Consensus probability analysis for AZ Alkmaar v Fortuna Sittard across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +16.03% on Fortuna Sittard (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar (Local) | 1.41 | +69.64% | +0.000% | -1.81% |
| Fortuna Sittard (Visit) | 9.30 | +12.48% | +0.310% | +16.03% |
| Draw | 5.53 | +17.69% | +0.000% | -2.19% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.243% (36 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar (Local) | Unibet (NL) | 1.41 | 71.1% |
| Fortuna Sittard (Visit) | NordicBet | 9.30 | 10.8% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 5.53 | 18.1% |