Date: 2026-04-16
Consensus probability analysis for Aston Villa v Bologna across Head to Head markets. Best expected value: +4.39% on Bologna (Visit). Arbitrage opportunity detected in Head to Head.
| Option | Best Odds | Consensus | Growth | EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | 1.67 | +59.42% | +0.000% | -0.765% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 5.94 | +17.57% | +0.039% | +4.39% |
| Draw | 4.33 | +22.78% | +0.000% | -1.35% |
Arbitrage opportunity detected: best margin +0.190% (4 combinations).
| Outcome | Bookmaker | Odds | Allocation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa (Local) | betfred_uk | 1.67 | 60.0% |
| Bologna (Visit) | 1xBet | 5.94 | 16.9% |
| Draw | 1xBet | 4.33 | 23.1% |